"A month or so ago, Florida seemed primed to be the next epicenter of the coronavirus outbreak in America... Yet today, public health experts are conspicuously sanguine about the trendlines in the state... [it is] a puzzle that still has to be explained.”https://www.vox.com/2020/4/24/21234641/florida-coronavirus-covid-19-stay-at-home …
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I think it may certainly mitigate/slow the exponential growth. But to truly get R<1 w/o a shutdown, we need test & trace. The challenge is that we can get by months with slow growth with R of say 1.5, but cases will still eventually accumulate.
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