Very interesting new preprint by Eran Bendavid and colleagues reports seroprevalence estimates from Santa Clara county. Great to have seroprevalence work start to emerge, but I'd be skeptical of the 2-4% seroprevalence result. 1/8https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.04.14.20062463v1 …
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Very similar numbers for Lombardy - 10MM population 11600 deaths
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Those are the 2 biggest outliers and their numbers would not be applicable anywhere else.
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Overstating of deaths due to covid has to be considered. How many of the 12,199 truly died as a direct result of covid-19? Are the covid-19 deaths in NYC being counted with the same process as flu/pneumonia deaths of prior years?
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The count is still escalating.
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Yeah, it took me about 12 seconds to decide to make that calculation and to do the math when I read this yesterday. Their claim just doesn’t make sense.
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