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grepmeded's profile
GrepMed
GrepMed
GrepMed
@grepmeded

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GrepMed

@grepmeded

Image Based Medical Reference: Sharing crowd-sourced checklists, algorithms, decision aids, #PhysicalExam #POCUS, and more - by @GeraldMDMD + @k00bideh

Sacramento, CA
grepmed.com
Joined March 2018

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    1. Jason Abaluck‏ @Jabaluck Mar 27
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      Jason Abaluck Retweeted Gregg Gonsalves

      There is near unanimity among economists I know that a war-level investment is needed on policies designed to directly counteract the spread of the virus. Any investment that will marginally reduce R_0 may have a return in the hundreds of billions or trillions of dollars.https://twitter.com/gregggonsalves/status/1243142653845352449 …

      Jason Abaluck added,

      Gregg GonsalvesVerified account @gregggonsalves
      Great to hear @LHSummers, @nealemahoney @zackcooperYale @joshgans push back against false dichotomy of epidemic control/economic collapse. Would love more economists to speak out. Public health folks are taking beating for saying stay the course on social distancing. #coronavirus
      15 replies 395 retweets 1,011 likes
      Show this thread
    2. Jason Abaluck‏ @Jabaluck Mar 27
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      Let's try to get an order of magnitude sense of the returns that a policy like universal mask-wearing might have (and if such policies are not adopted immediately, the benefits of quickly evaluating their effectiveness).

      2 replies 15 retweets 73 likes
      Show this thread
    3. Jason Abaluck‏ @Jabaluck Mar 27
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      Table 2 https://bfi.uchicago.edu/wp-content/uploads/BFI_WP_202026.pdf … estimates total mortality risk of $60,000 per person in the US (adjusting appropriately for age in the VSL calculation).

      4 replies 7 retweets 32 likes
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    4. Jason Abaluck‏ @Jabaluck Mar 27
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      This model https://www.imperial.ac.uk/media/imperial-college/medicine/sph/ide/gida-fellowships/Imperial-College-COVID19-NPI-modelling-16-03-2020.pdf … suggests that every reduction in R_0 by 0.2 reduces total deaths by roughly 10%.

      1 reply 11 retweets 37 likes
      Show this thread
    5. Jason Abaluck‏ @Jabaluck Mar 27
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      If our best estimate is 2.4, this means that a 10% reduction in transmission probability is worth about $6,000 per capita!

      1 reply 8 retweets 41 likes
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    6. Jason Abaluck‏ @Jabaluck Mar 27
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      Jason Abaluck Retweeted IWillStandByUSA

      Next, how effective are masks? The evidence seems mixed: their most likely effect is in preventing transmission of the virus, and that is difficult to measure in RCTs. Countries where people wear masks appear to have much slower viral spread: https://twitter.com/IWillStandByUSA/status/1243630139633737729 ….

      Jason Abaluck added,

      IWillStandByUSA @IWillStandByUSA
      1/ #masks4all flattens the curve of coronavirus spread The Asian countries that have stopped local transmission of the coronavirus are also those where everyone wears a mask, regardless of whether they are sick or not. pic.twitter.com/5utn5Yb4rr Please RT!
      Show this thread
      10 replies 63 retweets 128 likes
      Show this thread
    7. Jason Abaluck‏ @Jabaluck Mar 27
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      However, this could be due to other differences in the policy-responses in those countries such as earlier social distancing measures and more widespread testing.

      1 reply 5 retweets 28 likes
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    8. Jason Abaluck‏ @Jabaluck Mar 27
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      My read of the evidence is, masks likely provide little *protection* for healthy individuals outside high-risk environments (https://slatestarcodex.com/2020/03/23/face-masks-much-more-than-you-wanted-to-know/ …).

      5 replies 6 retweets 37 likes
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    9. Jason Abaluck‏ @Jabaluck Mar 27
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      However, simple surgical masks likely impede transmission. Existing trials were not powered to investigate transmission, and the mechanism is clear but no well-identified studies. So what should we do?

      2 replies 4 retweets 32 likes
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    10. Jason Abaluck‏ @Jabaluck Mar 27
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      1) Federal or state governments should immediately purchase a dozen cloth masks for everyone and strongly encourage everyone to wear masks when in public (perhaps even fine them if they don't).

      15 replies 31 retweets 144 likes
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      GrepMed‏ @grepmeded Mar 27
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      Replying to @Jabaluck

      https://www.sciencemag.org/news/2020/03/not-wearing-masks-protect-against-coronavirus-big-mistake-top-chinese-scientist-says …

      9:03 PM - 27 Mar 2020
      0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes

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