What are the chances that China had no new cases yesterday?https://twitter.com/nytimes/status/1240449931204341761 …
testing increases the denominator of CFR but more importantly has a greater effect on the numerator because it allows the smart asian countries to intervene and drastically reduce the R0 making containment feasible. Meanwhile we’re still screwing up testing 3m later...
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The playbook for containment was there but we completely dropped the ball on rapid testing so now we’re stuck with mitigation measures: https://www.vox.com/platform/amp/2020/3/2/21161067/coronavirus-covid19-china?__twitter_impression=true …
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