Strong thread by @LizSpecht. Independent analysis that comes to many of the same conclusions: hospitals overflowing, ICU saturation, supply-chain-induced drug and equipment shortages, possible prolonged disruption.https://twitter.com/LizSpecht/status/1236095180459003909 …
Replying to @balajis @LizSpecht
65% occupancy? hah! If you count all of the beds in the middle of nowhere. Our major hospitals often hit capacity with the flu burden alone, with patients boarding in the ED for days. As we seem to be following the Italy playbook we will be overrun far sooner than May 8th... 
10:26 PM - 6 Mar 2020
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