So, epidemiologically speaking, Nate has discovered that the sun rises in the east and that water is wet. Seriously, dude. This is a Vaccine Epi 101-level observation here. I mean, seriously? How ignorant/stupid does Nate think epidemiologists and clinical trialists are?https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/1422896644283043841 …
-
Show this thread
-
And OMG. The quote-Tweets of Nate are loaded with conspiracy mongering about Nate's supposed
#COVID19 "heresy" and praise for making what is, quite seriously, a beginner-level observation.5 replies 4 retweets 44 likesShow this thread -
Replying to @gorskon
This doesn't make sense. The immunity of the unvaccinated that got the disease can be easily separated from the immunity of the vaccinated. Why would it make the vaccine appear less effective that there are fewer cases?
1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes -
Replying to @toxicpath @gorskon
How? Most previously infected people never tested positive. Cum unconfirmed cases > Cum confirmed Cases.
1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes -
Replying to @adam28143 @gorskon
I just don't see how this affects vaccine effectiveness.
2 replies 0 retweets 0 likes -
Replying to @toxicpath @adam28143
It artificially inflates the denominator in the unvaccinated comparison group, which now consists of both truly non-immune people plus some percentage of people with immunity from previous infection. That leads to a seemingly lower vaccine effectiveness.
1 reply 0 retweets 2 likes -
Replying to @gorskon @adam28143
I would think it's easy to separate the vaccinated from the non-vaccinated and get an infection rate from each. Vaccinated status is on the medical record.
2 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
That's not the problem. Separating those with immunity from a prior #COVID19 infection from those without is. It can't always be done, because it's not always practical to test everyone for preexisting antibodies and lack of detectable antibodies doesn't always mean no immunity.
-
-
Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
-
Loading seems to be taking a while.
Twitter may be over capacity or experiencing a momentary hiccup. Try again or visit Twitter Status for more information.