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gorskon's profile
David Gorski, MD, PhD
David Gorski, MD, PhD
David Gorski, MD, PhD
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@gorskon

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David Gorski, MD, PhDVerified account

@gorskon

Surgeon/scientist promoting science in medicine and exposing quackery. Editor of Science-Based Medicine. My opinions do NOT represent those of my employers.

Michigan, USA
sciencebasedmedicine.org
Joined October 2009

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    David Gorski, MD, PhD‏Verified account @gorskon Jul 31

    David Gorski, MD, PhD Retweeted

    Whenever someone says that the odds of serious illness and death from #COVID19 are "extremely low," I always ask: What, exactly, do you mean by "extremely low? What level of risk of hospitalization and death is acceptable to you? https://twitter.com/millertcb/status/1421324177441628161 …

    David Gorski, MD, PhD added,

    This Tweet is unavailable.
    6:04 AM - 31 Jul 2021
    • 59 Retweets
    • 353 Likes
    • FN-2187 kfunk937 Readerrabbit Stephanie Calvert Dr Paul Mackey Amy Stanley (she/her) SusanJT - wear a mask, get vaccinated! Ody John Lyddon
    30 replies 59 retweets 353 likes
      1. New conversation
      2. That Mean John Saxon-Type Guy‏ @Cave_DweIIer Jul 31
        Replying to @gorskon

        Until it kills someone close to them, "extremely low" is no different than "I don't care."

        1 reply 1 retweet 17 likes
      3. openx  💉‏ @southernphoto75 Jul 31
        Replying to @Cave_DweIIer @gorskon

        You are absolutely correct.

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
      4. End of conversation
      1. New conversation
      2. Mark Hoofnagle‏ @MarkHoofnagle Jul 31
        Replying to @gorskon

        We are bumping into a fundamental problem with human heuristics. Humans are bad at judging odds that aren't 50:50. The same reason people can't figure out that 1:100 is *terribly dangerous* for an infectious disease is the same reason casinos work.

        1 reply 5 retweets 49 likes
      3. Bobdog‏ @bobhilt Jul 31
        Replying to @MarkHoofnagle @gorskon

        Even with 50-50. Americans invest far too conservatively because they feel loss more painfully than the joy of gains, misjudging the long run results badly.

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
      4. End of conversation
      1. New conversation
      2. Peter English #FBPE‏ @petermbenglish Jul 31
        Replying to @gorskon

        Indeed. And "What level of AVOIDABLE risk of hospitalization and death is acceptable to you?"

        1 reply 0 retweets 4 likes
      3. Przemo-c‏ @przemo_c Jul 31
        Replying to @petermbenglish @gorskon

        I would add EASILY avoidable. It's not like not driving... It's two shots

        0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
      4. End of conversation
      1. IU92Alum‏ @IU92Alum Jul 31
        Replying to @gorskon @MelissaJPeltier

        Just wait until more info comes out on changes to the brain for those that have had covid *even in mild or asymptomatic cases*

        0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
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      1. Kattitude 7‏ @katkatkatkat7 Jul 31
        Replying to @gorskon

        Plus, the word "healthy" is a loaded word here. So many have some sort of health condition that puts them at greater risk, diabetes, heart disease, asthma, obesity, the list goes on. Even if you do seem to be healthy, you could easily have a medical condition you are unaware of.

        0 replies 0 retweets 3 likes
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      1. c0nc0rdance‏ @c0nc0rdance Jul 31
        Replying to @gorskon

        It's the reason I believe there's still a place for relative risk statistics. Your chance of being struck by lightning while tap dancing on a tin roof holding an umbrella in a rain storm is "extremely low", but it's a relative risk elevation of thousands of times.pic.twitter.com/DdMsH4QHFB

        1 reply 1 retweet 27 likes
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      1. Acynicalman‏ @Acynicalman1 Jul 31
        Replying to @gorskon @MelissaJPeltier

        For me it has not just been the death rate . Speed of infection High percentage of long covid This with mild to severe conditions Potential to mutate and become worse

        1 reply 0 retweets 2 likes
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