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gorskon's profile
David Gorski, MD, PhD
David Gorski, MD, PhD
David Gorski, MD, PhD
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@gorskon

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David Gorski, MD, PhDVerified account

@gorskon

Surgeon/scientist promoting science in medicine and exposing quackery. Editor of Science-Based Medicine. My opinions do NOT represent those of my employers.

Michigan, USA
sciencebasedmedicine.org
Joined October 2009

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    1. Nate Silver‏Verified account @NateSilver538 May 27

      Nate Silver Retweeted Health Nerd

      OK let's get this on record. What percentage chance would you assign to a lab leak? Because there are a lot of credible people I'm reading from and talking to that consider it reasonably likely (at least 50%).https://twitter.com/GidMK/status/1397807872033976323 …

      Nate Silver added,

      Health NerdVerified account @GidMK
      This is a bizarre take. The evidence has stayed precisely the same - natural origin very likely, lab leak thus far entirely unproven and a very low chance The rest is mostly misconceptions caused by reading only sensationalist headlines https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/1397160688284536842 …
      Show this thread
      1,066 replies 120 retweets 1,298 likes
      Show this thread
    2. Florian Krammer‏Verified account @florian_krammer May 27
      Replying to @NateSilver538

      Not impossible but less than 1% for a lab leak of a natural isolate. Logs below that for an engineered virus.

      127 replies 185 retweets 2,379 likes
    3. Scott Gottlieb, MD‏Verified account @ScottGottliebMD May 27
      Replying to @florian_krammer @NateSilver538

      We need to assess possibility of lab leak not in isolation, based purely on scientific likelihood, but also in context of what we know: the admittedly circumstantial facts that emerge.This is no longer a purely scientific judgement but a security assessment based on entire mosaic

      61 replies 75 retweets 722 likes
    4. Rune Linding‏Verified account @RuneLinding May 27
      Replying to @ScottGottliebMD @florian_krammer @NateSilver538

      Some of the ‘evolutionary theory’ being referred to by the virology community is - sorry to say - flawed. There is a lack of Bayesian analysis and probabilistic modelling in general. This results in a deeply flawed assessment of the risks and likelihood of events.

      6 replies 0 retweets 7 likes
    5. Rune Linding‏Verified account @RuneLinding May 27
      Replying to @RuneLinding @ScottGottliebMD and

      There is also emittance of the dose/response we have seen for this virus. The dose/response must be considered and dramatically lower the likelihood for the zoonotic hypothesis with this particular virus.

      3 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
    6. David Gorski, MD, PhD‏Verified account @gorskon May 27
      Replying to @RuneLinding @ScottGottliebMD and

      How so, specifically?

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    7. Rune Linding‏Verified account @RuneLinding May 27
      Replying to @gorskon @ScottGottliebMD and

      It’s being ignored in the discussion.

      2 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
    8. David Gorski, MD, PhD‏Verified account @gorskon May 27
      Replying to @RuneLinding @ScottGottliebMD and

      Even if true that doesn’t explain why it works make a difference.🙄

      1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
    9. Rune Linding‏Verified account @RuneLinding May 27
      Replying to @gorskon @ScottGottliebMD and

      There is a reason why these things should be handled in BSL4 and not BSL2 :) and it’s fair to assume that the risk of a person getting infected is related to amount of virus which can be far higher in the lab enviro. than other settings. In particular if at the wrong BSL.

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    10. Mark Hoofnagle‏ @MarkHoofnagle May 27
      Replying to @RuneLinding @gorskon and

      Your hands are waving so fast I can’t see them any more.

      2 replies 0 retweets 3 likes
      David Gorski, MD, PhD‏Verified account @gorskon May 27
      Replying to @MarkHoofnagle @RuneLinding and

      IKR? Any faster and he’ll achieve takeoff velocity.

      6:24 PM - 27 May 2021
      • 2 Likes
      • Peep-Stone Joe Bramlet Abercrombie
      0 replies 0 retweets 2 likes

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