This is an epic misunderstanding of Bayes’ theorem.
https://twitter.com/jgordonshare/status/1397931594200059904 …
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David Gorski, MD, PhD Retweeted Thomas Wachtler
This, too, is an epic misunderstanding of prior probability .

https://twitter.com/thomas_wachtler/status/1397812090883252225 …David Gorski, MD, PhD added,
Thomas Wachtler @thomas_wachtlerReplying to @GidMKThis is not a health topic, this is a mathematical calculation of probability. And here I would trust mathematics, not health scientists. The conclusion of mathematics is quite different to yours, very high probability of lab leak, which is also very logical (from math point)4 replies 4 retweets 51 likesShow this thread -
David Gorski, MD, PhD Retweeted David Reinertson
Yep, this is the level of “Bayesian analysis” being used by
#COVID19#LabLeak advocates to claim that a lab leak is now more likely than natural origin for#SARSCoV2.
https://twitter.com/ReinertsonDavid/status/1397945055977959430 …David Gorski, MD, PhD added,
4 replies 8 retweets 27 likesShow this thread -
Replying to @gorskon
They saw this farside strip in the comics section and thought it was an article.pic.twitter.com/3YgfWVh7uv
1 reply 0 retweets 2 likes
If I blog about the lab leak hypothesis versus natural origin, I might have to use that cartoon for the post's main image...
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