This is an epic misunderstanding of Bayes’ theorem.
https://twitter.com/jgordonshare/status/1397931594200059904 …
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I didn’t mean to be an elitist there. I mean “Have you seen a specific Bayesian equation for the probability of SARSCov19 being grown or stored at that lab when it wasn’t being transmitted elsewhere, and then getting out of the lab and that being the start of local transmission?”
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It's this funny sort of folk Bayesianism where Bayes' Theorem somehow has substantive implications for specific hypotheses.
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Would like to be able to expect more from certain pop statisticians (looking at you, Nate Silver) but I guess it’s too much to ask.
Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
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They saw this farside strip in the comics section and thought it was an article.pic.twitter.com/3YgfWVh7uv
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If I blog about the lab leak hypothesis versus natural origin, I might have to use that cartoon for the post's main image...
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