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gorskon's profile
David Gorski, MD, PhD
David Gorski, MD, PhD
David Gorski, MD, PhD
Verified account
@gorskon

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David Gorski, MD, PhDVerified account

@gorskon

Surgeon/scientist promoting science in medicine and exposing quackery. Editor of Science-Based Medicine. My opinions do NOT represent those of my employers.

Michigan, USA
sciencebasedmedicine.org
Joined October 2009

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    David Gorski, MD, PhD‏Verified account @gorskon May 27

    David Gorski, MD, PhD Retweeted John Gordon MD

    This is an epic misunderstanding of Bayes’ theorem.🙄🤦🏻‍♂️https://twitter.com/jgordonshare/status/1397931594200059904 …

    David Gorski, MD, PhD added,

    John Gordon MD @jgordonshare
    Replying to @angie_rasmussen @ScottGottliebMD and 2 others
    Bayes theorem applies. The longer we go without identifying a natural source the more probability shifts to lab.
    8:47 AM - 27 May 2021
    • 20 Retweets
    • 193 Likes
    • Alma Laney Natalia Zamorano Tom B Baiger, PDHD (they/them) Scott Davis 🇺🇸 Yogeshwar Bala John Lyddon Renaissance Man - Not PD Secure Doors
    9 replies 20 retweets 193 likes
      1. New conversation
      2. David Gorski, MD, PhD‏Verified account @gorskon May 27

        David Gorski, MD, PhD Retweeted Thomas Wachtler

        This, too, is an epic misunderstanding of prior probability .🙄🤦🏻‍♂️https://twitter.com/thomas_wachtler/status/1397812090883252225 …

        David Gorski, MD, PhD added,

        Thomas Wachtler @thomas_wachtler
        Replying to @GidMK
        This is not a health topic, this is a mathematical calculation of probability. And here I would trust mathematics, not health scientists. The conclusion of mathematics is quite different to yours, very high probability of lab leak, which is also very logical (from math point)
        4 replies 4 retweets 51 likes
        Show this thread
      3. David Gorski, MD, PhD‏Verified account @gorskon May 27

        David Gorski, MD, PhD Retweeted David Reinertson

        Yep, this is the level of “Bayesian analysis” being used by #COVID19 #LabLeak advocates to claim that a lab leak is now more likely than natural origin for #SARSCoV2.😂https://twitter.com/ReinertsonDavid/status/1397945055977959430 …

        David Gorski, MD, PhD added,

        David Reinertson @ReinertsonDavid
        Replying to @RuneLinding @ScottGottliebMD and 2 others
        The “Bayesian analysis” I’ve seen so far is “There’s a virology lab, and an anonymous story that two people got sick there.” Have you seen an actual Bayesian equation with labeled variables?
        4 replies 8 retweets 27 likes
        Show this thread
      4. End of conversation
      1. Sylvia Judge  🧡‏ @sylviehj May 27
        Replying to @gorskon

        Could be a natural virus that was being studied and somehow escaped from the lab, man made error but origins outside

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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      1. New conversation
      2. Deadbeat cat dad‏ @dbeat_cat_dad May 27
        Replying to @gorskon

        To science what sovereign citizens are to the legal profession.

        1 reply 0 retweets 6 likes
      3. pandemic of the everybody‏ @LoboGerda May 27
        Replying to @dbeat_cat_dad @gorskon

        I am just slipping in here to say deadbeat cat dad is the best handle I've seen in a while.

        1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
      4. Show replies
      1. Rita Colorito‏ @ritacolorito May 27
        Replying to @gorskon

        Betting money that Bayes theorem now gets used by the far right conspiracy theorists as regular vocab. And cue the Inigo Montoya clip.https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=G2y8Sx4B2Sk …

        0 replies 1 retweet 13 likes
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      1. Ever So Naïve‏ @RadioBebop May 27
        Replying to @gorskon

        I mean, I think it’s the lab, but that reasoning is clowny

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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      1. Tyler Black, MD‏ @tylerblack32 May 27
        Replying to @gorskon

        Who knew Bayes' theorem was literally the argument from ignorance

        0 replies 0 retweets 6 likes
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      1. New conversation
      2. Carl T. Bergstrom‏Verified account @CT_Bergstrom May 27
        Replying to @gorskon

        Hempel nods approvingly.

        2 replies 2 retweets 13 likes
      3. Prasad Jallepalli, MD, PhD‏ @jallepap May 27
        Replying to @CT_Bergstrom @gorskon

        I'm betting their understanding of Bayesian inference is on par with their understanding of critical race theory

        2 replies 2 retweets 14 likes
      4. Show replies

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