The CDC’s chronic lower respiratory disease category more or less covers that, because COPD includes chronic bronchitis, emphysema, and asthma (which, yes, is a subset of COPD).
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Replying to @gorskon @crabb_vicki and
Are those numbers available yet? I can’t find them. And if sensitive PCR tests for COVID are capturing a big chunk of COPD deaths, then the data for 2020 could reveal by how much. Right?
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Replying to @crabb_vicki @SimsYStuart and
Indeed. What is the hypothesis he is trying to test?
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Replying to @gorskon @crabb_vicki and
A precipitous drop in COPD deaths beginning in early 2020 could indicate if PCR tests for COVID were capturing geriatric COPD deaths . And roughly how big a chunk of “COVID deaths” were actually caused by COPD.
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Replying to @SimsYStuart @gorskon and
Are you saying COPD reduces your risk of COVID mortality? That’s a complex analysis. It’s more than calculating a simple mortality rate. You have a competing risk. Where are all those excess deaths coming from? Why all the ARDS cases?
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Replying to @crabb_vicki @SimsYStuart and
He has no idea what is required to do the sort of analysis that he thinks he's proposing or how complex such an analysis would be. No idea at all.
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Replying to @gorskon @crabb_vicki and
Doc, what I’m suggesting isn’t that complicated. I’m comfortable with mathematical modeling and statistical analysis (in quantitative psychology), so I can take a data set and identify trends and spot statistical anomalies. So instead of being insulting and derisive, help.
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Replying to @SimsYStuart @gorskon and
Instead of stating misinformation and implying, think. Quantitative analysis in the absence of an informed approach is biased. It’s like running a correlation between cigarette lighters and lung cancer and then pronouncing lighters cause lung cancer.
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Replying to @crabb_vicki @gorskon and
I would love nothing more than to sit down with a full 2020 data analysis done by unbiased epidemiologist which addresses all of the concerns I’ve raised in this thread. But I’m unaware of any such publication. Has this been done yet? If not, why not? ...
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Define “unbiased” with respect to an epidemiologist, please. What is an “unbiased epidemiologist”?
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Replying to @gorskon @crabb_vicki and
I’d define an “unbiased epidemiologist” as one not suffering from undue influence (ideological, political, professional etc). As one whose goal is to model the 2020 data as close to the truth as humanely possible without consideration for the outcome. Honest modeling.
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