Your calculation is incorrect (389,000/328,000,000)*100,000 = ~120 deaths per 100,000. This estimate is likely low due to lag time in reporting. /1
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Replying to @SimsYStuart @crabb_vicki and
Ok, I just checked my own math. I was incorrect (that’s what I get for trying to cook dinner and play with my kids while doing calculations). 389,000/328 million is 118 out of every 100,000. Good catch.
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Replying to @SimsYStuart @PaulVCooper1 and
I make errors too. Mortality is not the only outcome of interest. It's generally the easiest to measure.
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Replying to @crabb_vicki @SimsYStuart and
I bet you don’t make errors that are off by 100-fold.
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Replying to @gorskon @crabb_vicki and
The percentage remains the same at 0.1% mortality, as does the validity of my point about mask mandates and neuroticism. But your glee at my pressing the wrong button on my calculator is very hurtful. Be careful Doc. I’m sensitive and I’d like to stay that way.
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Replying to @SimsYStuart @gorskon and
You're confusing mortality rates with case-fatality rates (often given as a percentage) or IFR. Mortality rates capture the burden of disease. CFR/IFR capture the severity of the disease. You did admit your error.
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Replying to @crabb_vicki @gorskon and
Am I? Mortality rate is the number of dead divided by the total population size. Case fatality is the number dead of those actually diagnosed with the disease. Correct?
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Replying to @SimsYStuart @crabb_vicki and
You do realize, don’t you, that for the past year
#COVID19 has been the number three cause of death in the US, behind cancer and heart disease. It’s killed considerably more than the next two causes of death (accidents and respiratory disease) combined.https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/fastats/deaths.htm …2 replies 1 retweet 5 likes -
Replying to @gorskon @crabb_vicki and
And you should realize that those mortality numbers are inflated due to flawed data collection (comerbidity) combined with overly sensitive PCR tests (35-40x). This virus kills the old and sick. Healthy people are not at risk anymore than they are from flu.
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They are not inflated. If anything they’re underestimates. Even if it was inflated ##COVID19 death rates would have to be “inflated” by more turn a factor of two NOT to make #COVID19 the number three cause of death this year.

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Replying to @gorskon @crabb_vicki and
Of old and sick people. If you want to mandate masks for 65+, that at least would be somewhat justified. Forcing my 8yo daughter and my healthy wife (who is a teacher) to wear a mask all day at school is absurd.
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Replying to @SimsYStuart @gorskon and
Instead of forcing healthy people to wear masks all day, why not instead encourage unhealthy people to get healthier? Diet and exercise. Plenty of sunshine. smh
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