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people would maintain some credibility if they admitted they were wrong. This is a new virus. This is outside of our experience. we are human. But to double down and try to pretend that history isn't history; self destructive
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As I've said time and time again, it's the arrogance. If Ioannidis had just said with some humility, "I screwed up," followed by an explanation of where he went wrong and how he would try to do better in the future, his 10K estimate would have been forgotten long ago.
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Replying to @gorskon @stephend50 and
Dr. Offit did that. He made some serious errors in predictions back in March. He openly said he got it completely wrong and pivoted to follow the evidence.
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Exactly. I was really surprised to see him compare it to the flu initially. But he realized he was wrong and admitted it. That's why he's a scientist and a scholar, not propagandist. If you had told me 1 year ago I would be saying this about JI, I would not believe it.
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Replying to @JHowardBrainMD @doritmi and
Me too. Dr. Offit disappointed me at first early in the pandemic, but he quickly redeemed himself. Ioannidis never redeemed himself and refuses to redeem himself.
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Replying to @gorskon @JHowardBrainMD and
Important to note the distinction isn’t simply that Offit “came around”. It’s the humility he showed when the evidence was clearly pointing more and more in a certain direction. And he has said flat out, and even mocked himself, in admitting that he was very wrong.
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Replying to @supermarioelia @gorskon and
That was me in January. Created a FB post for my community pharmacy “worry more about the flu” etc. Crow didn’t go down well but it was necessary. And that’s how science works.
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Replying to @PharmacistMama @supermarioelia and
I was in the "worry more about the flu" state until around early March, which is when the reports out of China and Italy made me start to realize that
#COVID19 could be very, very bad.1 reply 1 retweet 4 likes -
Replying to @gorskon @PharmacistMama and
Out of curiosity, I searched for the first time I blogged about
#COVID19. It was January 30, 2020, when I noted the conspiracy theory that the Wuhan coronavirus outbreak was facilitated by the flu vaccine. Yes, that conspiracy theory is that old!https://respectfulinsolence.com/2020/01/30/coronavirus-flu-vaccine/ …1 reply 6 retweets 18 likes
A day later, I was writing about another #COVID19 conspiracy theory, that #SARSCoV2 was in actuality made in a lab and escaped, the product of a failed attempt to make a vaccine against SARS.https://respectfulinsolence.com/2020/01/31/2019-ncov-wuhan-outbreakdue-to-failed-coronavirus-vaccine/ …
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Replying to @gorskon @PharmacistMama and
So, basically, the conspiracy theories about
#COVID19 began very early, months before it even became a pandemic, and I noted in March what a golden opportunity for quackery the pandemic was (and is).https://respectfulinsolence.com/2020/03/13/covid-19-pandemic-opportunity-for-quackery/ …1 reply 2 retweets 4 likes -
Replying to @gorskon @PharmacistMama and
As an aside, in case you're curious, when the novel coronavirus was finally named
#COVID19, I did go back and change all my older posts about it to reflect that name change, all so that searches would find all my posts on the pandemic when I needed to look up old posts.0 replies 0 retweets 2 likes
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