Do you really think he is still saying only 10,000 died? Is it ok that Fauci also pivoted? Isn't that what science is about?https://twitter.com/JHowardBrainMD/status/1345396395331743746 …
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people would maintain some credibility if they admitted they were wrong. This is a new virus. This is outside of our experience. we are human. But to double down and try to pretend that history isn't history; self destructive
As I've said time and time again, it's the arrogance. If Ioannidis had just said with some humility, "I screwed up," followed by an explanation of where he went wrong and how he would try to do better in the future, his 10K estimate would have been forgotten long ago.
This is a key point. Maybe everyone has a weak point where their confirmation bias is triggered and they can (if not very careful) tumble down their own rabbit hole despite their impressive history of avoiding other people’s.
I know, and I always fear that someday I will encounter mine and fail to recognize it.
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