.@NateSilver538's arrogance is astounding. And yes, the people who know the most are the most cautious because they understand the nuance and assumptions behind the science 
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Mr Silver is fast becoming a new member of the "very serious people" club, which Paul Krugman often reminds us is a very "exclusive" club whose echo-chamber support often leads to questionable (read disastrous) results.
@paulkrugman
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