I understand the impulse to constantly make comparisons to 2016 but the whole point of a model like 538's is to not only make comparisons to 2016 but also to *all other presidential elections* for which we have useful data†. † 1880, 1936 or 1972 for various parts of the model
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About half of them have to be willfully ignorant of it. Its not really hard to understand.
End of conversation
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