Nate is playing down the COVID situation on college campuses, but he's got the wrong denominator. Those 36,000 cases on campuses are not out of the 20M students in the US, but out of the much small number on campus in person right now. h/t @zbinney_NFLinjhttps://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/1304915776667815937 …
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Chippy maths.
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Nate should know better.
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Note that even with his problematic calculations, it comes out, he says, to twice the rate in the population.
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He really should stick to polls and polling models.
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Honestly I would know that and imma hamster!
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Yeah, I read it and asked him about it (not expecting an answer from him, but thinking someone might know why he’d do that) only to realize I was the thousandth person to point it out
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Ugh why is Nate still a thing?
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@nytimes database at 88,000 cases in college. How does@NateSilver538 account for such a large discrepancy in case count? Also, wouldn't 2x the rate of the general population so early in school year still be worth noting as concerning? -
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But COVID modeling is so damn easy to do, how could one refrain after it worked so well at the University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign.
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