Can we flatten the Dunning-Kruger curve? #flattenmountstupid
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LOVE this tweet. You win the 'net.
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Navarro is INVESTED in this, isn't he?
Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
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Clever tactic. Suppose 1% death rate, say 10 of 1000. Suppose 100% take HCQ, 1 dies from COVID, 1 from HCQ side-effects ... leaving 98 who can say "I followed Trump and was saved from COVID!" Wearing a red hat might work as well. Expect flood of anecdotes. http://web.archive.org/web/20150424120723/http://www.scientificexploration.org/journal/jse_21_2_braesch.pdf …
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The “Trump saved me” anecdotes have already started.https://respectfulinsolence.com/2020/04/01/fda-eua-chloroquine-hydroxychloroquine-covid-19/ …
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Doc, how would a study work to test if HCQ is effective early on, but not late? Seems hard to do because so many people might have gotten better anyway, without drugs.
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It would have to be large, likely at least 1,000 subjects, although I haven’t some a power calculation.
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Not a fan of Trump but (1) Trials are ongoing (2) It is a crisis (3) Why not allow doctors to assess patient risks, explain lack of evidence & side effects (some serious) and let patients make decision? Trump should not give false hope, but informed consent is the main issue, no?
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Trump has made informed consent very difficult. He,
@RudyGiuliani, and others hand basically been telling people it’s a miracle drug. It’s going to be VERY hard to persuade people to agree to possibly being randomized to the placebo control group. - Show replies
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I prefer evidence based medicine. But when that fails I'll take anecdotal evidence over no evidence at all. I believe plaquenil & clindamycin saved my sis' life. I want to see more testing but I don't want ppl denied potentially life saving treatment bcz politics.
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Anecdotal evidence is often VERY misleading. There is also a human bias to attribute good outcomes to “doing something,” whether that something was responsible for the good outcome or not. That’s why we need clinical trials.
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