Is anyone else worried that the epidemiological models are all too optimistic because they can't capture the fundamental granular brokenness of our politics and our institutions?
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A lot of them are based on assumptions that are not happening, like universal lockdown and universal testing and tracing. (Which is not a hit on the models, we should know what we *should* do, not just what we're actually doing.) But even beyond that...
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Replying to @beyerstein
I am worried that Florida will be next, followed by Texas, and then Alabama and Mississippi, to exceed a bad set of expectations.
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Replying to @CherylRofer @beyerstein
They’re definitely next. Meanwhile, in Michigan, we’re still early on the steep part of the exponential curve.
5:20 PM - 28 Mar 2020
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