Gorski, however, disagrees with Ioannidis, making the point that I was just thinking about. Italy.https://twitter.com/gorskon/status/1240309041370402818 …
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Indeed. Northern Italy, about half way through the outbreak if the stats from Asia are followed, has had a quarter of the total deaths the USA should expect. Nah. Can't see it. Sorry, John. But of course this is one time I'd be delighted to be proved wrong.
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I’d be overjoyed if Ioannidis is correct and I’m not. However, his estimate for the case fatality rate just seems cherry picked to be way low.
End of conversation
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