And…John Ioannidis, someone whom I’ve admired for a long time, has completely lost the plot on #COVID19.
https://www.statnews.com/2020/03/17/a-fiasco-in-the-making-as-the-coronavirus-pandemic-takes-hold-we-are-making-decisions-without-reliable-data/ …
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Public health officials and governments don’t have the luxury of waiting until there are “perfect” (or even really good) data. Decisions need to be made now based on the best projections we can make now.
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Ioannidis is also ignoring the fact that we are not without data and appears to be cherry picking only the most favorable data. Is he blind to what is happening in Italy NOW, for instance? The blindness he’s exhibiting is truly horrifying.
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Basically, he’s making the perfect the enemy of the good (or even the OK) in terms of evidence. Unsurprisingly, the “don’t worry, be happy” crowd at
@reason loves Ioannidis’ take on#COVID19.
https://reason.com/2020/03/18/coronavirus-quarantine-imperial-college-london-covid-19/ …Show this thread -
I wonder if this will make Ioannidis rethink. Italy is still in the exponential phase. Deaths are skyrocketing, with no end yet in sight.https://www.reuters.com/article/us-health-coronavirus-italy-tally-idUSKBN21534Z …
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End of conversation
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Why does he focus only on the mortality rate, when we are starting to get reliable morbidity information? The disruptive effects of long-term damage to human bodies doesn't even appear in his diatribe.
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