Had black voters shown up for Clinton in the same numbers they showed up for Obama in 2012, she'd have carried Michigan by 1.5 points, almost certainly Pennsylvania too, probably Wisconsin.https://twitter.com/davidfrum/status/1156901881756569600 …
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You think she would have been worse with Iran & N Korea.... That is funny
End of conversation
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I was worried when I realized that all likely voter models excluded people who didn't vote in the last two elections. Why would blue collar Democrats in Michigan not vote in 2008 or 2012? Having grown up knowing a metric crapton of blue collar racists in Michigan, I knew why.
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Also 1/10 bernie voters switched to Trump. Play the numbers. 1/10 of primary bernie voters in MI, WI & PA was more than Trump’s margin of victory.
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