This last set of Upshot/Siena polls has been pretty good for D's. They're polling in 11 districts now, and on average, the polls are coming in about 2-3 points better for Dems than the 538 Classic forecast from before the poll was entered.
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Replying to @ThePatriarchy85 @NateSilver538
Oof, someone doesn't understand statistics...3 replies 0 retweets 19 likes
Also, Nate wasn't 80% confident. As I recall, the last estimate gave Hillary something like a 70% or 72% chance of winning, which made me nervous as hell, because 30% was too big a chance for me to be comfortable with. Yes, that guy sure doesn't understand statistics.
3:59 PM - 3 Nov 2018
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