may raise tough Q: if 1+ (eastern) US cities already 30-50% post-infection/presumed-immunity, & could (w/ available/improving care capacity) 'burn' to 60-85% at less cost-in-lives than so far, while other (western) cities still just 1-5%, which way does shared polity go?
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& here, an old [2013] Stanford study that reminds us that, with apologies to Arthur C Clarke, sufficiently advanced biology is indistinguishable from magic: hints people can acquire specialized immune cells for infections they've never hadhttps://med.stanford.edu/news/all-news/2013/02/immune-systems-of-healthy-adults-remember-germs-to-which-theyve-never-been-exposed-stanford-study-finds.html …
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WHAT IF recovered post-infection individuals in a population can, through some as-yet-undiscovered natural process that doesn't involve the infectious pathogen itself, share immunity-recipes with not-yet-infected peers?
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The chief epidemiologist saying that the strategy is working while downplaying the high number of deaths feels very much like an “other than that did you enjoy the play Mrs Lincoln” situation
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It’s probably too soon for most data to be reliable, but one concerning data point is that Sweden has 50% more fatalities than California but only 25% of total population.
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absolutely, & seems to me in main "too early to tell". but under certain assumptions – such as, "same deaths will just come a little later", & "social/economic disruption eventually causes other offsetting loss-of-life/life's-values" – not crazy to prefer shorter/sharper hit.
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as per my previous response: that particular article/study doesn't clearly state whether the observed GGO-among-the-asymptomatic remains after recovery, or indicates any persistent lung damage – just that those with no complaints still show GGO
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So much that we don't know, and urgently need to know.
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Given that there are supposedly at least 30 different mutations, with symptoms of varying severity, this still seems a bit risky. But interesting for a small, homogeneous country to try it.
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