Biden’s Covid vaccine promise is truly possible — a sign the end is finally near.https://www.vox.com/2021/3/11/22326478/biden-speech-covid-19-vaccine-may-adults?utm_campaign=germanrlopez&utm_content=chorus&utm_medium=social&utm_source=twitter …
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The key surprise (that I also missed) was that German assumed 1/3rd of doses were J&J. That boosts the final number of fully vaccinated a fair bit.
Some other things can also push the numbers up, too: Is there a few days lag on vaccine reporting? Will some people never get second doses? Could J&J make up more than a third of vaccines? All of this is why I treat the estimates as a bit fuzzy. Point is we're in the ballpark.
