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Geoffrey Manne
@geoffmanne
President & Founder, . Former law prof. Focus on antitrust, telecom, regulation, privacy, data, IP, etc.
Portland, ORlaweconcenter.orgJoined February 2011

Geoffrey Manne’s posts

I'm no expert, but I *think* we can safely conclude that stupid zoning laws impede housing construction: Santa Monica got 2 decades-worth of housing unit permits in 8 months. How? It accidentally abolished its zoning code. Paging and, well, everyone.
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Great thread clearing up the confusion around the FTC’s Twitter demand letters. Tl;dr: These are not ordinary course demand letters. It’s hard to escape the conclusion they’re a politically motivated fishing expedition.
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I've looked at (and revised, even) dozens of consent orders. Douglas provides a standard description of why the FTC has consent orders and how enforces them through demand letters. BUT THE DEMAND LETTERS TO TWITTER ARE NOT STANDARD. 🧵1/11 twitter.com/DouglasLFarrar…
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It's really odd that she thinks this clip makes her case. How is he not describing competition and business negotiation? I fear I don't want to know how she thinks markets should alternatively function.
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Facebook is a case study in monopoly power: It harvests and monetizes our data, then uses it to spy on competitors—to copy, acquire, and kill rivals. This destructive model makes it impossible for new companies to flourish—harming our democracy, small businesses, and consumers.
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Wow. This is fantastic. The US should do the same.
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"The UK will introduce a new visa at the end of January that will give 5.4 million Hong Kong residents - a staggering 70% of the territory's population - the right to come and live in the UK, and eventually become citizens." bbc.com/news/world-asi
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Arguing in favor of the policy outcome is one thing, but advocating for China's authoritarian approach to policymaking over an evidence-based, deliberative process because you like the outcome is as anti-democratic as it is anti-intellectual.
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Europe: “let’s discuss”, “don’t fret”, “let’s be principled” “we need to be evidence based” “more research is needed” etc etc Meanwhile in China 🇨🇳: Tencent and Alibaba pledge to open up apps to competitors ft.com/content/5ca8e9
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An underappreciated - and appalling - aspect of this whole bullying of Bedoya affair is the apparent quid pro quo that was demanded for Warren's (&/or other senators?) support of Bedoya's confirmation: that he support Khan in taking down Facebook.
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Replying to @adamkovac
After Bedoya issued his statement, Dan Geldon (@dan_geldon) - Elizabeth Warren's former COS and now consultant to lefty groups - texts him: "Your statement...is at odds with the representations you made to me about backing Lina on Facebook matters prior to your confirmation" 4/
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The schizophrenia around WhatsApp being a potential competitor to Facebook, but Twitter, et al. not, reflects the poverty of an antitrust case built around removal of a potential competitor.
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If you think the introduction of Threads increases competition, it's noteworthy that it won't do so in the EU. No definitive reason is given, but I think we can surmise it. Chilling competition in the name of protecting competition — it's the EU way.
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I don't often agree with AOC, but this is an *excellent* speech.
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Make no mistake: @AOC's speech will travel. It will mobilize and energize women, in particular, for whom Yoho’s language represents not a random mistake but the interior monologue of a political party that is led by a man who sounds just like Yoho trib.al/gVa3vFK
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Hey! Wanna hear the dumbest health policy idea ever?: Let's cut down the only thing in cigarettes people actually want — which is also the only *healthy* thing in cigarettes — and force them to consume way more of the shit in cigarettes that *kills* them in order to get it!
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SCOOP: The Biden administration is considering requiring tobacco companies to reduce the nicotine levels in all cigarettes sold in the U.S. to levels at which they are no longer addictive. wsj.com/articles/biden
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WTAF. This is absolutely indefensible. Say what you will about the Rs, this is the Ds playing politics with our lives and livelihoods on a monstrous scale.
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Pelosi's stimulus package is 1100+ pages of pure unseriousness. Industry loans conditioned on PERMANENT paid leave, $15 minimum wage, ban on buybacks, executive compensation cap, and industry emissions standards. This is NOT the time to push a permanent political agenda.
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The end of an era. @MOhlhausenFTC was a consistent voice of reason and humility at the . I’m saddened to see her leave (though we all knew it had to end sometime). Thank you, Maureen, for your fantastic work!
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Today marks my last day at the FTC. Over the past years, the Commission has won important victories which helped evolve antitrust in its most fundamental way; case by case – @FTC's @MOhlhausenFTC discusses a judge's view at @gwlaw Antitrust Salon
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Harold Demsetz was one of the most important influences in my intellectual life &, if they lived it well, that of everyone who learned from him. My daughters don't know how lucky they were to spend even just a day w/ him (& Armen & HGM) 6 yrs ago. May his memory be a blessing.
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There is no better way for economists, policy advocates, and the like to honor Harold Demsetz' memory - and, incidentally, to be a minimally competent economist or policy advocate - than to commit to *not* committing the Nirvana fallacy.
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This is key. There are lots of good reasons for self preferencing. The unsupported willingness to accept that it's per se anticompetitive has been the most infuriating policy move in antitrust in recent memory.
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Replying to @AuerDirk
Make no mistake: Consumers attribute poor shipping to Amazon. This creates a freerider problem, where FBMs can harm Amazon's reputation by providing poor shipping/return services. Amazon thus needs to balance benefits of opening platform to FBMs vs protecting its reputation.
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Kickstarting the economy with good union jobs runs into a snag:
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"The ports of Los Angeles and Long Beach have closed due to widespread worker shortages apparently linked to ongoing contract talks." abc7.com/port-of-los-an
Important to note re DC Cir. #NetNeutrality decision: In overturning the Order's preemption provision, the decision does NOT say there's no preemption. In fact, it's virtually inevitable that every state law will be preempted. The court just says that has to be done case-by-case.
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I have no idea where anyone would get the idea that Neo-Brandeisians like some of those currently in antitrust leadership positions would want to deter all mergers with their new guidelines. No idea at all.
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Henry G. Manne would have been 90 today, and he is dearly missed. But his wisdom survives, and he has even left us w/ a remarkably prescient critique of today’s “hipster antitrust”: bit.ly/2wuTXgy "What’s hip (in antitrust) today today should stay passé"
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Tech companies are evil according to because, unlike "regular" companies I guess, they are crassly focused on three untenable, horrific things: profits, growth, and brand reputation. Not the Onion. The actual Heritage Foundation. The mind boggles.
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The left doesn't just want to use #bigtech to deplatform dissident voices from social media They want to boot them from the digital space ENTIRELY—including access to digital services like online banking Former Facebook employee @KaraAFrederick lays out their REAL agenda:
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For those who may have missed it, this response by Jonathan Jacobson to a question from Margarethe Vestager was, bar none, the greatest moment of the 2018 Spring Meeting. And his deadpan delivery was perfect.
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I'm curious how this "careful, bipartisan" process, allegedly aimed at collecting "a full range of views," manages to sideline one entire half of that range of views and not cite a single statement or piece of testimony expressing a view contrary to the report's assertions.
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The House #antitrust report just went live: bit.ly/36A4Spz
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A great idea! I nominate Frank Easterbrook on The Limits of Antitrust.
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Query: What do @IpseDixitPod listeners think about a "classics" series, featuring scholars talking about important older papers? It seems like it could be fun & useful. And highlight the way similar Qs seem to arise is different forms. Among other things.
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In some ways, this bit in the Epic Games v Apple decision reflects the depth of the conflict of visions at the heart of the antitrust enterprise. To be clear: this view is nuts.
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"Facebook isn't MySpace," they say, & "Google isn't Yahoo." "This time is different." Maybe. But unlikely. The 1 constant is the spectacular error (by regulators AND insiders, BTW) of predictions of the course of tech & bus. evolution across industries, times & bus. models.
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This Too Shall Pass: Unassailable Monopolies That Were, in Hindsight, Eminently Assailable truthonthemarket.com/2019/04/01/thi
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It's not that *data* is the price users pay to *platforms* for platform services; it's that *platform services* are the price *platforms* pay for data.
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Misconception #2: The common trope, “the price for ‘free’ services is your data,” is backward. Much of the data we share with platforms does not even exist (or is not known) separately from our interactions with these platforms. bit.ly/2Ma86nj
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When & I are in violent agreement that enforcement was inappropriate, you know something is really wrong.
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Couldn't corroborate the testimony of DOJ Antitrust Division whistleblower, but 3 former attorneys from this admin said his claims fell in line with a pattern they had either observed first-hand or heard described by colleagues. globalcompetitionreview.com/article/usa/12
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The average year of cases cited in the draft Merger Guidelines is 1982. The average year *weighted by number of cites* is 1975!
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The distribution of cases cited in the draft merger guidelines is telling. The only post-2020 case cited is NCAA v. Alston (to support the claim that agencies can consider harm to labor). Hard to imagine a court giving deference to guidance that ignores decades of precedent.
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Friday afternoons in DC are known for two things: happy hours and news dumps. So it was no shock that the FTC filed its change of course in a much ballyhooed effort to forestall a merger between Meta and Within (a VR company) while many were bound for bars. 🧵 1/12
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The FTC has filed an amended complaint in its case against Meta's proposed acquisition of Within, dropping some of the allegations that said Meta's Beat Sabre competes with Within's Supernatural. More TK.
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The gov’t of CA released its estimate of the costs/bens of the CCPA: bit.ly/2pqcyao Bottom line costs: $55B up front & $16.5B over next 10 yrs Bottom line benefits? Um, lots! Yeah, lots Here’s why costs are actually much higher & benefits don’t come close. [thread]
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Replying to
Portland. And don’t believe complaints about the weather. It rains 8 months but it’s pretty temperate and it’s mostly light rain. Used to never get hot but that’s changing. Still better than elsewhere. Food is best in country, outdoors unparalleled, etc., etc.
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The Colorado, et al. Google antitrust suit touches on so many things has been working on over the past decade-ish, it’s hard to know where to start. Fortunately, that means we’ve already got a lot of work addressing its claims. A few suggestions: 1/11
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Replying to
Well, I’m not sure that’s necessary. Don’t you think prices will adjust? And maybe people will have to move into less expensive houses, but I’m not sure why that wouldn’t be possible.
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I'm devastated to learn of Jerry Ellig's () passing. Jerry was a tireless advocate for good governance & the role of econ in regulatory decisions. We're honored to publish one of his final writings tmrw for our symposium honoring . He will be missed.
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RIP, Jerry Ellig: @RegStudies research professor was @FCC chief economist from 2017-18, and a wonderful colleague. He recently co-wrote an op-ed on the importance of economic analysis @FCC—a function he helped to establish. He will be sorely missed. thehill.com/opinion/financ
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This is at his absolute lyrical finest. "...this weak person’s idea of a strong person, this chest-pounding advertisement of his own gnawing insecurities, this low-rent Lear raging on his Twitter-heath...." And it just gets better from there.
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The lesson of Donald Trump's life is: There is no such thing as rock bottom. So, assume that the worst is yet to come. washingtonpost.com/opinions/no-on
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Replying to
What the argument that WhatsApp and Instagram were potential competitors really shows is that entry is relatively easy and that FB continually faces competitive threats from all sides. This is a sign of a competitive market, not one that lends itself to antitrust actions.
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Replying to
Presumably it can just be corrected in next year's budget, though, right? Maybe he can do it again, and it gets fixed again, ad infinitum. But then it's not really much different than the status quo. Still, very silly (but also - very creative by the governor!).
I'm no expert on Senate markup procedures, but this seems like a complete shit show. Maybe this is a half-baked bill rushed through for electioneering purposes but without substantive merit?
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"YOU get a Jones Act!... And YOU get a Jones Act!..."
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A “Buy American” rule for infrastructure projects means we will get less infrastructure for our money. Extremely shortsighted policy decision to score quick political points.
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This is simply untrue. I'd say it helps to have a law degree to understand that "best effort" and "cost" have actual, legal significance, (imperfectly) defined by contract. But it doesn't even require that; just some basic reading and analytical skills. 1/4
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AZ want to sell jabs at a “non-profit” price. Yet BoJo hails companies’ “greed”. Can we put an end to the “at cost” and “best effort” nonsense? Just a sales pitch. If you are not in this for the money, let everybody make the vaccine.
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Big Tech scold: “Amazon must do more to monitor its platform to ensure there’s no counterfeiting, fraud, etc.!” Also Big Tech scold: “How dare Amazon try to implement an effective mechanism for monitoring its platform!”
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Forget the FDA, EPA, and FTC: A new patent for blockchain technology reveals Amazon’s plans for its own private, for-profit regulatory regime based on unprecedented data collection from sellers, report @ZephyrTeachout and @ShaoulSussman: prospect.org/power/amazons-
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Such horrible news. Bobby was a fantastic economist, an insightful scholar of antitrust, and a great human being. He was generous with his time with me, and I learned a great deal every time I spoke with him (usually for hours at a time). He will be missed.
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Robert Willig, a giant of antitrust economics, has passed away. He is most famous for developing the concept of contestable markets (with Baumol & Panzar) and for validating the use of consumer surplus as a tool of welfare economics. dof.princeton.edu/about/clerk-fa
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Extremely thorough and informative thread on the questionable basis for FTC trying to stop Meta and MSFT mergers.
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The @FTC is suing to stop @Microsoft from acquiring Activision and @Meta from acquiring Within. This is based on this notion that acquisitions in the tech sector are anti-competitive. But they mostly aren’t. Let’s review the evidence. Thread. 1/ twitter.com/reckless/statu
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There's also no agreement on what "reasonable" means, what "free speech" means, what "public interest" means.... The CWS isn't an operative, doctrinal rule; it's a standard, to be given meaning primarily by courts through case-by-case adjudication.
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Replying to @matthewstoller
Kanter cites this twitter thread between @Sherman1890 @marklemley @elhauge showing there is no agreement on what the consumer welfare standard means even among respected antitrust thinkers. Says we need to get back to the statutory text. twitter.com/elhauge/status
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This is an interesting paper by et al, but I wonder: if the firms exploiting political connections didn’t do so would it be worse for all firms? IOW, rent extractors gonna extract rents. Maybe those paying provide a positive externality >than the observed costs. 🧵1/
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"Connecting to Power: Political Connections, Innovation, and Firm Dynamics" onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.3982/EC "market leaders are much more likely to be politically connected, but much less likely to innovate...."
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I still can’t read Hal’s tweets, but it takes a massive amount of self-deception to think an ideologue, so I know I’m not missing anything.
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Replying to @HalSinger
I am not an ideologue Hal, but thank you for the insult. For every cross-industry price-HHI regression there is an equal and opposite sign cross-industry price-HHI regression. You would know this if you had paid any serious attention to the last 50 years of the IO literature.
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The problem is, what this really means is: "Our antitrust laws don't assume these 'monopolies' are *bad*, but I do. Clearly we need laws that enact my presumptions & don't demand such trivialities as proof." Chicago should never succumb to this unrigorous, meritless approach.
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“Our antitrust laws cannot do anything against these types of monopolies,” says Proessor Luigi @zingales. “The world has changed, and inevitably the Chicago position has to change, too.” @kateconger nytimes.com/2019/09/20/tec
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A great story told in 3 simple graphs. It’s not new, but one can never get tired of seeing those graphs.
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Access to the internet changes the economy in ways that we couldn’t have anticipated & are hard to measure. For example, when fishermen in India gained access to cellphones, they could exchange demand info. Prices instantly stabilized and waste disappeared. Look at those graphs!
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Looking forward to discussing the Google complaint this Friday with , Chris Sagers, and
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Tune in on Friday at 12:00 pm EDT for the @FedSoc panel on the DOJ’s much-anticipated lawsuit against Google. Learn what @geoffmanne has to say about the most high-profile antitrust challenge since the Microsoft case more than 20 years ago. fedsoc.org/events/united-
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