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generativist's profile
💥 (wannabe) Ƀreaker of (the Bad) Loops 💫
💥 (wannabe) Ƀreaker of (the Bad) Loops 💫
 💥 (wannabe) Ƀreaker of (the Bad) Loops  💫
@generativist

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 💥 (wannabe) Ƀreaker of (the Bad) Loops  💫

@generativist

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Palo Alto, CA
jbn.abreka.com
Joined May 2013

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    1. Justin Amash‏Verified account @justinamash May 13
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      Epidemiologists cannot know the specific actions of each individual in a community. This kind of knowledge is not knowable to any scientist. The top mistake being made by state governments is their imposing uniform rules that limit the use of local knowledge to fight the virus.

      2,044 replies 368 retweets 2,241 likes
       💥 (wannabe) Ƀreaker of (the Bad) Loops  💫‏ @generativist May 13
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      Replying to @justinamash

      Physicists don't know the position and momentum of every atom in the universe but they are still able to derive some remarkably precise predictions about what happens to matter when you add energy to a particular system. Their models include the relevant information.

      1:38 PM - 13 May 2020
      • 3 Retweets
      • 59 Likes
      • Melissa Lewis Lacey James Ari Brown Ashley Holub Alexia Galati ⚖️Carolyn Hedges raleedy Riff from Friend to Friend in Endtime Bruce Mason
      4 replies 3 retweets 59 likes
        1. New conversation
        2.  💥 (wannabe) Ƀreaker of (the Bad) Loops  💫‏ @generativist May 13
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          Replying to @generativist @justinamash

          Epidemiologists study and model the epidemics. Their models include the relevant information. (Including human behavior and economic considerations.)

          1 reply 2 retweets 31 likes
        3.  💥 (wannabe) Ƀreaker of (the Bad) Loops  💫‏ @generativist May 13
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          Replying to @generativist @justinamash

          Certainly, I can be sympathetic to local knowledge problems. But "there is one and only one social responsibility of business -- to use its resources and engage in activities designed to increase its profits so long as it stays within the rules of the game," right?

          1 reply 1 retweet 11 likes
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        2. Max Bay‏ @maxwellmbay May 13
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          Replying to @generativist @justinamash

          Lol I independently made this exact reductio ad absurdum.

          1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
        3.  💥 (wannabe) Ƀreaker of (the Bad) Loops  💫‏ @generativist May 13
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          Replying to @maxwellmbay @justinamash

          Analogies from physics: the interlocutors nearby hammer ;)

          0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
        4. End of conversation
        1. IrishDude‏ @irish_dude7 May 13
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          Replying to @generativist @justinamash

          Social science is far away from the physical sciences in its ability to predict. People aren't atoms, but have agency and desires and particular needs that can't be known to central planners or experts.

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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        2. Jeff Walden‏ @jswalden May 13
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          Replying to @generativist @justinamash

          Fair enough, but individuals are far less predictable in their movements than atoms. (Or I guess pick something where Newtonian and not quantum physics holds.) It only takes one Danish concert, one Patient 31, to blow past society-level modeling.

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
        3. Jeff Walden‏ @jswalden May 13
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          Replying to @jswalden @generativist @justinamash

          And modeling will never descend to the level of cities akin to, say, Seward, KS. Localities with sufficient border controls and quarantine enforcement likely can proceed more quickly than NYC because they're completely different balls of wax. Maybe also slightly larger towns.

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
        4. End of conversation

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