Experts are more likely to be correct with respect to their domain than non-experts are and also are most likely to be wrong when non-experts are right. It's basically the intro to Bayes law medical test problem.
-
-
And if the test keeps turning up +'s that don't match the expected constellation of observables, you may be in a different regime then the one you thought you generalized from, mis-matching on downstream symptoms instead of causes.
Show this threadThanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
-
Loading seems to be taking a while.
Twitter may be over capacity or experiencing a momentary hiccup. Try again or visit Twitter Status for more information.