1/ Knowing how belief systems work is frustrating to me right now because it means I know that it absolutely does make sense to listen to and *emulate* successful entrepreneurs if I want my venture to be successful, too.
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2/ Survivorship bias is real but often over-stated. The expressions of successful entrepreneurs are a function of what they perceive; and their perceptual filters are tuned to the task of entrepreneurship.
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3/ But perceptual emulation isn't really subject to conscious deliberation or control. You really can't fake it. Either integrate it into your beliefs, or don't.
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4/ It's frustrating to me because so many successful entrepreneurs have really bad ideas about things they have no experience with arrogantly and mistakenly translated to other contexts. Ideas that I *don't* want to adopt.
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5/ If I were to deeply think about and integrate what, say,
@paulg has to say about entrepreneurship, it *would* increase my probability of success. Even if he's wrong, causally! Say what you want about him, but that's the world he's lived in, successfully.2 replies 0 retweets 6 likesShow this thread -
6/ But, if try to partition his good parts from the bad, I'm not going to end up with the same perceptual filters. And, I'll implicitly prioritize different things. And since I am *not* a successful entrepreneur, the difference lowers my relative probability of success!
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7/ It feels like trying to decide what the appropriate distance to swim away from the shore is. And it's exhausting.
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Replying to @generativist
This whole thread is very much why I’m on the “what am I willing to sacrifice of myself to be a successful entrepreneur? probably not much” wheel right now.
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Yea, it's a tradeoff that, for me, is personally expensive. And not expensive for people who either never had a different set of experiences or beliefs or don't care. Or not expensive for other people in the case that I am mistaken and they were never similarly wrong. le sigh
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