*loud cough* @thehill *loud cough*
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Is it really true that traditional polling, especially when weighted by a trained statistician, is getting less reliable? I seem to recall 538 getting the midterms more or less on the money.
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The weighting and care part is becoming more important because of things like the phone response rate which is at something like 5% now. Lots of polling is moving online because of that, but that has a host of other problems. But I should have said: "its getting much harder."
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