I just published Why Simulation (for Belief Systems)?https://medium.com/p/why-simulation-for-belief-systems-88b807466670 …
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Replying to @generativist
Writing a simulation and plotting helps. What helped more was expanding the scenario to more doors. 100 doors, open 98 doors after selection. Odds of picking the right one with the first guess? Bad. Odds on next guess? Much better.
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Replying to @appupio
Yea, for me, too. And @yudapearl talked about a few related ways of making it more intuitive in his #BookOfWhy.
8:57 AM - 7 Jun 2019
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