What near-term scenario in American politics do you believe has the greatest catastrophic potential?
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For me, it's: Trump continues to express and campaign on his whole "everyone but [MAGA] is the Enemy of the People" tyrannical rhetoric (100% probability); he wins 2020 (near a coin-flip); then, the economic downturn hits before 2024 (a very high probability).
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Replying to @Aelkus
Yea, I'm a big fan of those. My final experiment for my ABM was a mass synchronization event for rendering a belief context salient (and compelling social exchange in that context).
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💥 (wannabe) Ƀreaker of (the Bad) Loops 💫 Retweeted Leah Boustan
Semi-related but just if you didn't see this, I really want to check this out later because it's really interesting in terms of the resiliency of social capital and persistent environmental structures to shocks,https://twitter.com/leah_boustan/status/1112694800782970885 …
💥 (wannabe) Ƀreaker of (the Bad) Loops 💫 added,
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