I didn't see this article until Adam tweeted it. This part matters: > You probably didn’t want to have a difficult conversation with your aunt whom you knew was voting for Trump. You probably didn’t want to think too much about the fact that the United States (cont) https://twitter.com/Aelkus/status/1050512301697175552 …
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> is a country deeply divided along racial and economic lines. Instead, you’d rather hit refresh on a little web page that tells you how America will vote. Too bad the numbers were wrong. It's not just that polls rely on a lot of bad assumptions.
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Real-time, chronically salient polls break the process of politics. Citing Goodhart's Law doesn't do it justice. Always accessible, frequently updating polling with faux-precision moves politics from "all politics is local" to "all politics is abstraction parallel to reality."
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And, that parallel dimension is noisy. But, people import and integrate those sampling errors into their real beliefs, then get confused, frustrated, and angry when they find their map doesn't match the terrain.
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