It is obviously a fool’s errand to predict how demographic correlates of voting will change over 15 years, so I’m not trying to. The point is that the probability here is alarmingly high (esp given D pop vote advantage) — and higher than some Dems on Cap Hill seem to acknowledge
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Rs win 2028, Ds win back 2036? Move the timetable up 4 years if you think Biden loses in 2024 (which is completely plausible) or if Rs get single-cycled. (The precise year is unimportant, it’s the duration thats key here.) https://twitter.com/mattyglesias/status/1429522491261718528 …
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Because of structural advantages for voters that tend to align with Republicans, Democrats are already starting behind in national — and it’s probably only going to get harder for them if educational polarization keeps risinghttps://twitter.com/davidshor/status/1429523461916045318 …
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why specifically 2036
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probably assumes back to 8 years of switches in WH
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What a great advertisement for our desperately needed national political divorce.
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Divorce? Absolutely not. We will crush them if needed, but they're not getting away.
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As in: forever
Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
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But muh normz!!
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