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The margin differences almost certainly are statistically significant, because the correlation in vote between (Trump vs. X) and (Trump vs. Y) are really, really high. It's a different calculation than a case where you're comparing two independent questions.
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Ideally, I would have microdata but alas do not -- how might you calculate?
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is this among all adults or among registered voters?
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I can see the name recognition issues from my house.
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Sure - but Trump doesn't do appreciably better against lesser know candidates (the Ds do worse), and ideological opposites Bernie and Biden do basically the same. In essence - it will ****all come down to turnout*** :)
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Statewide, Texas has a majority/minority population, and it is that component of the population that will continue to age into voters in ever larger numbers every month between now and November 2020. Texas can be competitive in 2020.
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