G. Elliott MorrisOvjeren akaunt

@gelliottmorris

Data-driven journalist . Mostly cover polls, elections & political science. Past 🐂. Blog/newsletter:

Washington, DC / Austin, TX
Vrijeme pridruživanja: srpanj 2009.

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  1. Prikvačeni tweet

    🚨Big news! is launching a new 2020-focused US politics newsletter called "Checks and balance" this week. Each Friday we'll be sending out a note from our US editor and an article about the polls from yours truly. Sign up here ⬇️⬇️⬇️

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  2. Here’s my preliminary take as I head to bed: If Biden’s performance ends up being as poor as early results indicated, his campaign is up for a really really tough reckoning over the next month. NV & SC might not save him.

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  3. An underrated story that should get more attention now: Biden's declining prospects in South Carolina

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  4. No apps, just ranked ballots

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  5. Relevant wisdom from XKCD tonight

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  6. Well I was looking forward to ranking the performance of different pollsters for y'all tonight, diving into different sampling and weighting methods etc. Guess that's not going to happen? :(

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  8. No no no no no that's not the correct context. Headlines like these absolutely kill confidence in the process. IDP clearly said they're not concerned about hacks or widespread issues. This isn't a f'ing game

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  9. Aaaaaand we just lost any remaining legitimacy in the primary process. Cool

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  10. At some point it makes more sense to stay up all night instead of going to bed and waking up at 5:30 for meetings, right? Maybe this next bite of ice cream will help me figure it out...

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  11. So we have a new statement from the IDP now that says they're going through three sets of results (for all precincts?) to reconcile reports from the tech systems, phone reports and photographs.... I'm tired

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  12. I guess one good thing about the caucus is that the results in each precinct are written down -- so we'll have delays, sure, but we will still have confidence in the integrity of the eventual result

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  13. Selzer IA Dems 🤝 setting twitter on fire

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  14. also sadly it doesn't look like we can turn on the needle's jitter using the USE_JITTER trick this time around :/ cc ?

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  15. a really exciting night all around

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  16. meanwhile on the bachelor, some girls are accusing the others of abusing drugs and alcohol to their mans

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  17. Prikaži ovu nit
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  18. national ranked choice primary national ranked choice primary national ranked choice primary national ranked choice primary national ranked choice primary national ranked choice primary national ranked choice primary national ranked choice primary national ranked choice primary

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  19. broke: caucuses woke: national primaries bespoke: NATIONAL CAUCUSES

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  20. We're heading for a result in Iowa that'll shift the national race to a four-way tie between Biden, Sanders, Buttigieg and Contested Convention

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  21. PredictIt now giving Biden and Bloomberg the same chance of winning the Dem nomination. Lol what could go wrong

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