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@GarettJones

Making a continuing inquiry into the nature and causes of the wealth of nations.

Washington, DC
sup.org/books/extra/?i…
Joined July 2009
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  1. Pinned Tweet
    Sep 22

    "After controlling for confounds including quality of ingredients, chef expertise, and restaurant ambience, we find that a meal at McDonald's offers nearly the same experience as a meal at any Michelin-starred restaurant." --Every kitchen-sink regression paper you've ever read.

    19 replies 286 retweets 968 likes
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  2. Retweeted
    14 hours ago

    Vietnam is an outperformer in human capital development. There is much that can be learned from this fast-growing, highly competitive neighbor.

    9 retweets 31 likes
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  3. 14 hours ago

    I take back every criticism I ever made about Knightian uncertainty.

    The next time you're inclined to say that something will *never* happen, think about what you would have said if someone had shown you this picture 10 years ago.
    3 replies 9 retweets 83 likes
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  4. Retweeted
    23 hours ago

    Number of male deaths for every female death at different ages

    22 replies 139 retweets 255 likes
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  5. Retweeted
    15 hours ago

    Linda Gottfredson’s Scientific Keynote Cancelled: Why? via

    6 replies 13 retweets 37 likes
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  6. Retweeted
    Oct 11

    But what if I am super worried about long lines at the airport

    Underappreciated element of Paul Romer's Nobel-winning theoretical insights: The classic Romer growth model is pro-natalist: if more people mean more ideas, and ideas have elements of *increasing* returns to scale, then... The more, the merrier. More people, more solutions.
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    1 reply 1 retweet 6 likes
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  7. Retweeted
    Oct 11

    "The two men then hatched on a larger idea: Why not turn the consulate into a document factory for other European Jews facing the Nazi death camps? By the grant of Salvadoran citizenship, Castellanos used his office to help save an estimated 40,000 lives."

    2 replies 77 retweets 207 likes
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  8. Retweeted
    Oct 11

    New large meta-meta-analysis shows that the median of median power across 200 psychological research lines (12k studies) is about 36%

    4 replies 58 retweets 93 likes
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  9. Oct 11

    Not on net! Not so far!

    Replying to @GarettJones @BrzezinskiMich
    More people, more problems.
    3 replies 1 retweet 4 likes
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  10. Retweeted
    Oct 11

    It seems to me that people are net positive assets or they are not. It certainly looks like the evidence shows they are assets and increase positive outcomes.

    Replying to @peterlorentzen
    For the last million years on earth, Romer's theory has been true: until the rise of effective birth control, higher population *levels* predicted faster population *growth*. In real life... ...the more the merrier!
    1 retweet
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  11. Retweeted
    Oct 11
    Replying to

    For the last million years on earth, Romer's theory has been true: until the rise of effective birth control, higher population *levels* predicted faster population *growth*. In real life... ...the more the merrier!

    3 replies 1 retweet 3 likes
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  12. Retweeted
    Oct 11

    this is also a great reason to abolish discrimination on every level. women, minorities, etc, all have great world-changing ideas. we're missing out.

    Underappreciated element of Paul Romer's Nobel-winning theoretical insights: The classic Romer growth model is pro-natalist: if more people mean more ideas, and ideas have elements of *increasing* returns to scale, then... The more, the merrier. More people, more solutions.
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    3 replies 4 retweets 12 likes
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  13. Oct 11

    That's the work of Paul Romer's coauthor, Chad Jones, whose semi-endogenous growth theory found that even with diminishing returns to idea-mining.... ...the more the merrier!

    Replying to @GarettJones
    "to find more intellectual gold mines, you need more miners." I sure hope he built in declining marginal productivity of intellectual "miners". Doubling the number of miners will not double intellectual output.
    1 retweet 4 likes
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  14. Retweeted
    Oct 11

    Two common flaws in cosmopolitanism 1. Self-contradiction: most often a failure to differentiate relativism/multiculturalism from universalism/monoculturalism 2. Vagueness: proposals are often expressed through slogans like "celebrate difference", "learn from the other", etc

    2 replies 9 retweets 12 likes
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  15. Retweeted
    Oct 11

    In grad school, I joked the key factor to growth is making babies

    Underappreciated element of Paul Romer's Nobel-winning theoretical insights: The classic Romer growth model is pro-natalist: if more people mean more ideas, and ideas have elements of *increasing* returns to scale, then... The more, the merrier. More people, more solutions.
    Show this thread
    1 reply 2 retweets 5 likes
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  16. Oct 11

    The Romer model is "only a model" but the mechanism is too sensible to ignore: to find more intellectual gold mines, you need more miners. And this gold can be shared widely, copied and recopied at low marginal cost. The more the merrier indeed.

    7 replies 4 retweets 35 likes
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  17. Oct 11

    Underappreciated element of Paul Romer's Nobel-winning theoretical insights: The classic Romer growth model is pro-natalist: if more people mean more ideas, and ideas have elements of *increasing* returns to scale, then... The more, the merrier. More people, more solutions.

    9 replies 60 retweets 231 likes
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  18. Retweeted
    Oct 11

    I say noncompetes are bad but Matt's argument here holds a lot constant that shouldn't be held constant. Paul Romer just won the Nobel after all

    After all, if you take the companies at their word and it’s about preventing the diffusion of business methods rather than about stifling wages *that is also bad* because the economy grows faster when advanced business methods diffuse.
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    2 retweets 7 likes
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  19. Oct 11

    I make a few brief cameos in the replies, like an overactive

    What are the best thoughtful arguments against immigration? I will read the best items suggested.
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    5 likes
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  20. Retweeted
    Oct 10

    The has pulled its sponsorship of the FII investment conference in Riyadh, which is hosted by the Saudi crown price.

    112 replies 1,709 retweets 6,535 likes
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  21. Retweeted
    Oct 10

    I'll be in Chicago tomorrow through Monday for the Faculty Conference on academic free speech and viewpoint diversity. We'll have a panel discussion about the challenges of sex research in the current ideological climate.

    4 replies 4 retweets 41 likes
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