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g1's profile
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@g1

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G1Verified account

@g1

O portal de notícias da Globo

Brasil
g1.com.br
Joined September 2007

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    G1‏Verified account @g1 Apr 23

    Como medir a força das candidaturas. Leia no blog do @gurovitz https://glo.bo/2F9caiw  #G1

    3:25 AM - 23 Apr 2018
    • 3 Retweets
    • 25 Likes
    • nordeste acima de tudo jorge bezerra costa Helio Gurovitz Rodrigo de Oliveira e teili e zaga Aristoteles Ferd Correia Gustavo Ornelas ⭐
    4 replies 3 retweets 25 likes
      1. New conversation
      2. Rodrigo Pinho‏ @RodrigoPinho85 Apr 23
        Replying to @g1 @gurovitz

        Gostaria de ver uma republicação mensal com atualizações até a eleição! O carisma não está baixo na média ponderada? Pra mim ele deveria ter peso equivalente ao das pesquisas.

        1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
      3. Helio Gurovitz‏Verified account @gurovitz Apr 23
        Replying to @RodrigoPinho85 @g1

        Estou ainda refinando a medida. Na próxima rodada, posso apresentar esse resultado também. Obrigado pela sugestão

        0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
      4. End of conversation
      1. New conversation
      2. Ivo Viu‏ @IvoViu Apr 23
        Replying to @g1 @gurovitz

        Análise com metodologia, fundamentada, transparente e certamente trabalhosa. Cumprimentos. O tal "mercado"é variável de dificílima mensuração e pode distorcer o resultado. Outro elemento complicado não seria a movimentação dos que não pretendem votar?

        1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
      3. Helio Gurovitz‏Verified account @gurovitz Apr 23
        Replying to @IvoViu @g1

        Carisma também. Mais que o resultado, importa entender o que define o jogo

        1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
      4. Ivo Viu‏ @IvoViu Apr 23
        Replying to @gurovitz @g1

        Certamente, carisma é avaliação complicadíssima; mas, mera opinião, o mercado é ainda pior vez que não é ator junto ao eleitorado. De qualquer maneira, uma metodologia clara foi proposta.

        0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
      5. End of conversation
      1. New conversation
      2. Rafael Felix‏ @RaffaZumbi Apr 23
        Replying to @g1 @gurovitz

        Cara não sou petista, nem sei o que é isso, mas vcs deveriam ter incluído o Lula nesse estudo. Afinal ele ainda é o candidato do PT.

        1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
      3. Rodrigo Pinho‏ @RodrigoPinho85 Apr 23
        Replying to @RaffaZumbi @g1 @gurovitz

        Preso, condenado em segunda instância. Inelegível. Por que é tão difícil entender isso? Fora que praticamente todos os números do Lula passaram para o “candidato do PT” nesse artigo...

        1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
      4. Helio Gurovitz‏Verified account @gurovitz Apr 23
        Replying to @RodrigoPinho85 @RaffaZumbi @g1

        46%, de acordo com a própria pesquisa Datafolha. O resto é ativo do PT (palanques, tempo de TV etc.). Carisma é discutível, de todo modo Lula será importante na disputa, mesmo sem concorrer

        2 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
      5. Rafael Felix‏ @RaffaZumbi Apr 23
        Replying to @gurovitz @g1

        Entendo q é a jogada do partido registrar candidatura no último momento. Contudo, ao meu ver, deveria ser incluído mais explicitamente.

        0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
      6. End of conversation
      1. Leonardo Cipriano‏ @leonarcipriano Apr 23
        Replying to @g1 @gurovitz

        Aí é que tá. E se aparecer um candidato que fuja dessa regra e consiga vencer. O Senhor não deve esquecer do senador ÁLVARO DIAS que em alguns cenários do Datafolha aparece com CINCO POR CENTO dos votos. O que é muita coisa visto que ele está num partido pequeno.

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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