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Frederic Guarino πŸ’‰ πŸ’‰πŸŒŽβ™»οΈ
@fredericg
dot connector, futurecasting, ESG/SDG, fredericguarino.comπŸ‡«πŸ‡·πŸ‡¨πŸ‡¦based in MTL, lived Paris,NYC&Tokyo.
Joined March 2007

Frederic Guarino πŸ’‰ πŸ’‰πŸŒŽβ™»οΈβ€™s Tweets

#Omicron is challenging our collective intelligence and abilities to plan ahead. Our hospital systems are close to the max, esp b/c staff is getting sick. Re-upping from Fall 2020 πŸ‘‡πŸ» cc
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Replying to @sarvay
Sadly we’re as collectively clueless as the 1918-19 folks who were told to wear masks and did not. Until a large metro area or state sustains a large scale hospital breakdown eg hospital closure b/c of sick nurses/doctors, nothing will change.
Pourquoi attendre demain pour nous dire que nous allons en #couvrefeu ? cc
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Comme dans beaucoup d’endroits dans le monde, le QuΓ©bec est confrontΓ© Γ  des choix trΓ¨s difficiles. Ce qui nous guide, c’est la capacitΓ© qu’on aura ou non de soigner les QuΓ©bΓ©cois malades dans les prochaines semaines. On vous revient demain avec nos dΓ©cisions.
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They’ve shrunk 10x faster in the past 40 years than in the previous 7 centuries. The Himalayas is the source of 10 major river basins that provide drinking water, irrigation, and power to about 1.9 billion people. morningbrew.com/daily/stories/ via
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My second essay on the decline of decline of novelty in art, science, and technology in the 21st century theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/ In Hollywood, at the NIH/NSF, and in US energy policy, our markets are failing to promote new ideas that drive progress and growth.
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Traditional Left=unable to coalesce because it too is fractured and it’s devolved into personal postures vs true ideas confrontation. Jadot should focus 100% on climate and is unable to be more than a Hollande clone. Hidalgo showed she is NOT a national politician&will bow out
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His entire 17 pitch:those most comfortable w β€œglobal France” vs β€œles souverainistes”. His β€œbilan for 22”: he hasn’t pursued this diligently and LREM is not ideologically strong enough. Pecresse will resurrect β€œdroite contre gauche”&opinion polls to date=she has a real chance
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Suggested themes: 1/ Taubira/Jadot/Hidalgo and the rudderless Left 2/ Macron’s 2 hour β€œsatisfecit” 3/ PΓ©cresse’s path so far 4/ Zemmour and how his campaign resonates inside intellectual circles
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#2yearslater IMO roots of Trumpism=media/political class didn’t properly atone for 2 gigantic fuckups since 2000: the β€œwar of choice” in Iraq&inaction post-08. πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έvoters’ cynicism is as massive as the elites’ despicable attitude. This will happen again&again until it’s too late. twitter.com/fredericg/stat…
Regulators warned for the 1st time in report to Congress climate change=β€œemerging threat” to U.S. financial system:costs associated w πŸ“ˆhurricanes, wildfires&floods caused by global warming could lead to a cascade of damage throughout the economy.
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on fire GIF
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SCOOP: At-risk House Dems are privately fretting that the DCCC under @RepSeanMaloney's leadership is hurting them more than helping them w/ their re-elects -- an extraordinary suggestion abt the panel charged w/ keeping the majority In @playbookdc politico.com/newsletters/pl
SCOTUS=100% political➑️Dems’ project to change πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έat federal level is over&needs to pivot to large states where max GDP is located: CA, NY, IL, MA-CT-NJ. THAT’s where Dems’ focus on the future should be, not DC.
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GOP=100% culture war&unwilling to govern. They will spend 22-24 w impeachment+hearings to try and fail Fauci et al. Dems are underselling this b/c they are the worst at messaging. DC = toast as governing entity. States shld be focus now&allowed to issue debt eg provinces in πŸ‡¨πŸ‡¦
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#perspective 🧡on Pelosi’s normalizing of insider trading for Congress&families. dubbed it her β€œMarie Antoinette” moment&he’s 🎯. IMO this, like HRC’s Wall St speeches will discourage key voting blocs in 22. McCarthy=Speaker ➑️Biden will be impeached as revenge for DJT
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⁦⁩ nails it. Early retirements not lazy young people account for 90% of those who left labor market over last two years. Narratives on what has been called β€œThe Great Resignation” is really ab retirements.
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There are other obvious parallels between the 1850s and today but one worrying me is how convinced some congressmen are they can prevent democratic collapse through bipartisan compromise. I wrote about that ⁦⁩ ⁦⁩
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