Every decision you’ve ever made, no matter how much data you collect, has been based on a hunch or an intuitive feeling. Ultimately there’s no way to be SURE about anything whatsoever besides your direct experience right here right now. Everything else is probabilities. Even
Conversation
Replying to
Haha, I tweeted something along the very same lines a while back:
Quote Tweet
In the end, all knowledge is intuition. After taking all the potential variables into account, you still have to make the final decision from your gut. How do you know to trust the data you studied? How do you trust yourself to know which sources are trustworthy?
Show this thread
Probability is basically just a mental decoration about how things could unfold, having no actual relation to how things will unfold because the amount of variables always far exceeds our conscious attention.
2