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fly4dat's profile
fly4dat
fly4dat
fly4dat
@fly4dat

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fly4dat

@fly4dat

Will cover $TSLAQ short @ $0

Romeo & Juliette Laser Hair Removal Capital
Joined October 2018

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    fly4dat‏ @fly4dat 30 Sep 2020

    1/ As most $TSLA showrooms close in 42.0 minutes in Europe, time to start looking ahead again. This is my first draft of BEV deliveries in Q3 and Q4. If you have any comments, know better, let alone work for an OEM, please comment or DM. $TSLAQpic.twitter.com/QlQgl6vRpv

    11:18 AM - 30 Sep 2020
    • 4 Retweets
    • 29 Likes
    • Marty Chargin Pavel Mark skyman66 Alex_T Jon Bryant LET IT SNOW for $800 Mtass Montana Skeptic
    7 replies 4 retweets 29 likes
      1. New conversation
      2. fly4dat‏ @fly4dat 30 Sep 2020

        fly4dat Retweeted fly4dat

        2/ It's visible that the gist is @VWGroup, @Groupe_Renault-@Nissan, @HyundaiEurope-@Kia, @fiat-@Peugeot-@Citroen and @volvocars-@PolestarCars. I've added some margin of error in my calcs, but individually, my best guesses are these.https://twitter.com/fly4dat/status/1311304328691552256?s=20 …

        fly4dat added,

        fly4dat @fly4dat
        1/ #Tesla has a European market share of 16% that's falling. At the same time, Norwegian market share is less than half, 7%. $TSLA $TSLAQ pic.twitter.com/hPojw0f4tc
        Show this thread
        1 reply 1 retweet 4 likes
        Show this thread
      3. fly4dat‏ @fly4dat 30 Sep 2020

        3/ I have model breakdown estimates too, but I won't share them publicly as they are even more prone to errors. Again, any feedback would be highly appreciated.

        1 reply 0 retweets 4 likes
        Show this thread
      4. End of conversation
      1. New conversation
      2. jimbob‏ @jimbob74355783 30 Sep 2020
        Replying to @fly4dat

        27.7. I don’t even understand that.

        1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
      3. fly4dat‏ @fly4dat 30 Sep 2020
        Replying to @jimbob74355783

        That's my best guess for Europe in Q3 for Tesla.

        1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
      4. Show replies
      1. New conversation
      2. Jeff Raines‏ @JeffRaines1 30 Sep 2020
        Replying to @fly4dat

        Ford had 1500 deliveries in Norway/Netherlands and Spain in Q3, so is this BEVs only. It might also help to separate Polestar from Volvo. Thanks for all your work.

        1 reply 0 retweets 2 likes
      3. fly4dat‏ @fly4dat 30 Sep 2020
        Replying to @JeffRaines1

        Yes, I must have made it clear, BEV only. If I separate Volvo from Polestar, it'd make sense to differentiate VW/Audi/Skoda/Porsche (and soon Seat/Cupra) too, just as Peugeot/Citroen/Opel/DS/Fiat, etc. I've decided to show only the groups. I have model breakdowns internally.

        0 replies 0 retweets 2 likes
      4. End of conversation
      1. Smack Check‏ @Smack_Check 30 Sep 2020
        Replying to @fly4dat

        Brave of you to project such a large increase for Tesla ...

        0 replies 0 retweets 3 likes
        Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. Undo
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      1. New conversation
      2. Ed Carson‏ @IBD_ECarson 30 Sep 2020
        Replying to @fly4dat

        This is just BEV deliveries, right? Plug-in hybrids have been doing very well in Europe and are a sensible option for many buyers.

        1 reply 0 retweets 3 likes
      3. fly4dat‏ @fly4dat 30 Sep 2020
        Replying to @IBD_ECarson

        PHEVs rock. Growing by 200%+ YoY. But, for some strange reason, bulls disregard them. Maybe I shouldn't, as those are the future for the next 3-8 years.

        1 reply 0 retweets 12 likes
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      2. fly4dat‏ @fly4dat 30 Sep 2020
        Replying to @MylesNunez305

        We don't know. And it's an estimate only.

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
      3. End of conversation

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