Wondering if @MikePenceFly___ took inspiration from this course ...
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The full set of lecture notes is available here. The text passage is from Section 2.1.3 on page 8. https://ocw.mit.edu/courses/economics/14-30-introduction-to-statistical-methods-in-economics-spring-2009/lecture-notes/MIT14_30s09_lec15.pdf …
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By the law of iterated expectations, what are the odds?
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Precious! How did you come up with this treasure?
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I'll have to ask Konrad.
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That’d have probably been a reference to a fly alighting on Chris Dodd’s hair during an ‘08 Presidential primary debate, wouldn’t it?https://www.politico.com/story/2007/09/comb-your-cowlicks-candidates-005798 …
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(The fly appeared at a debate held in fall of ‘07 for the ‘08 nomination).
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Probabilities may not be equal if one of the candidates smells more like decaying meat to the fly (not saying this happened, n=1 and so all)
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Economist
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But definitely not an Austrian economist! |
