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Biden won pretty convincingly in the end. 53eig.ht/2Ii2DNI
Do you think the country will elect a woman president in the next 20 years?
Stacey Abrams: Yes.
Do you think they'll elect a black woman?
Stacey Abrams: Yes.
Do you think they'll elect you?
Stacey Abrams: Yes. That's my plan. And I'm very pragmatic.
53eig.ht/2tlepja
0:16
The 2020 presidential election map is settled.
Biden will win 306 electoral votes to Trump’s 232.
53eig.ht/3nofWLz
Here’s the most disproportionately consumed Thanksgiving side dish in each region:
53eig.ht/1XeBar5
Two more batches of Pennsylvania vote were reported:
-23,277 votes in Philadelphia, all for Biden
-about 5,300 votes in Luzerne County, nearly 4,000 of which were for Biden
*With 83% of the expected vote in, Trump’s lead in PA is now just below 6 points. 53eig.ht/3mSkDgl
Science says toxic masculinity — more than alcohol — leads to sexual assault. 53eig.ht/2En0c6I
Hillary Clinton would probably be president if James Comey hadn't sent a letter to Congress on Oct. 28. 53eig.ht/2pFtAx5
Progressives have had a pretty good night in Texas. 53eig.ht/3C8FIw8
Hillary Clinton would probably be president if James Comey hadn't sent a letter to Congress on Oct. 28. 53eig.ht/2pFtAx5
Cory Booker spoke the most words tonight.
Beto O’Rourke was second.
Elizabeth Warren was third.
Chuck Todd, one of the debate’s moderators, spoke just 4 words less than Warren and more words than 7 of the candidates on stage.
53eig.ht/2IOfvsq
Note: Biden has taken the lead in Pennsylvania without the inclusion of ballots that arrived after Election Day. 53eig.ht/32fnfgz
The Niners have a 93.8% chance to win.
Mahomes will need magic.
#SuperBowl
fivethirtyeight.com/live-blog/supe
A bullish sign for Biden in Pennsylvania --> 53eig.ht/34S245P
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In Dauphin Co., Pa. (Harrisburg), almost all votes are counted and Biden leads, 53-45. In 2016, Clinton won it 49-46.
Donald Trump is unpopular enough that Republicans could lose the House in 2018: 53eig.ht/2kHe8NO
Trump’s base alone will not be enough to win a second term. 53eig.ht/2SJJMzu
Voters strongly oppose a national emergency over the wall. 53eig.ht/2SP9l18
THE ULTIMATE HALLOWEEN CANDY POWER RANKING:
53eig.ht/3dDpKxz
We can’t believe we have to say this, but you win an election by being ahead when all the votes are counted. 53eig.ht/2HUjjdT
Here’s what your part of America eats on Thanksgiving. 53eig.ht/1XeBar5
Biden is down 1,902 votes in Georgia. There are about 16,000 votes left to count. Biden needs to win 56% of what remains in order to take the lead statewide. 53eig.ht/367uTdX
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Trump kept up a running commentary while Clinton was speaking, although he seldom wrested the floor from her. 53eig.ht/2cGVWlT
The media needs to stop rationalizing President Trump’s behavior. 53eig.ht/2xJ17L4
Once again, immigrants commit violent crimes at lower rates than U.S.-born citizens. 53eig.ht/2mqSCRW
Some of the protesters inside the Capitol appear to be flying Confederate flags. That’s a pretty clear sign that at least some of the protesters are part of the white nationalist or white supremacist movement. 53eig.ht/2XdRL7E
THE ULTIMATE HALLOWEEN CANDY POWER RANKING
53eig.ht/2yYJaKS
Michael Cohen is the 33rd person Mueller has charged. 53eig.ht/2U0z44D
Biden wins — pretty convincingly in the end. 53eig.ht/36jeYtj
"They delivered us a clear victory, a convincing victory," Joe Biden says. Indeed, Biden’s win wasn't a landslide, by any means, but it was a thoroughly convincing one with a pretty good map. 53eig.ht/356Jgjm
Another batch of around 50,000 Michigan votes just came in from heavily Democratic Wayne County (Detroit). They have now put Biden in the lead by 0.1 points. That lead could grow because Wayne has only reported 70% of its expected vote. 53eig.ht/38alSDr
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Set your alarms.
Something big is coming tomorrow.
Kamala Harris has been elected vice president of the United States.
She becomes the first woman in American history to hold one of the top two executive offices in the U.S. She is also the first Black and Indian American vice president.
53eig.ht/3k8CIoT
Twitter, Facebook and Instagram have all locked President Trump’s accounts. 53eig.ht/3bmiA1P
The outstanding absentee ballots remaining in Georgia are mostly in blue counties. 53eig.ht/32dJH9W
Bernie Sanders is the only candidate in either party with a net-positive favorability rating: 53eig.ht/1Q9k5NQ
If Florida goes to Trump, though, his chances of winning the Electoral College would go up to 33%.
If we wins Georgia, his chances would go to 38%. If he won North Carolina, the race would still be a toss-up.
The candidate who then won Pennsylvania would be the heavy favorite.
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We haven’t had any surprising projections yet in the presidential race.
And plugging those into our interactive map shows that the FiveThirtyEight forecast would be about the same if it knew how those states were going to be decided --> 53eig.ht/2GqwR09
Democratic-leaning suburb Oakland County in Michigan just reported 25,000 or so more votes. That has increased Biden’s margin from 0.1 points to 0.2 points statewide. 53eig.ht/3eonHxM
The Democrats have 73% chance of winning control of the Senate: 53eig.ht/2cNEU5Q
What Republicans and Democrats are doing in the states where they have total power: 53eig.ht/2rz93Qf
Republicans are pushing, in Virginia and elsewhere, to make it harder for Democrats to win the Electoral College: 53eig.ht/2knkx3d
Nearly all of Silicon Valley's political $'s are going to Hillary Clinton: 53eig.ht/2eLIpsI
Many more Americans approve of President Biden’s handling of the pandemic than former President Donald Trump’s. 53eig.ht/3b8HaBv
Biden currently has 273 electoral votes.
*If he holds his leads in Georgia, Arizona and Nevada, he would finish with 306.
53eig.ht/2JLc3ls
If Trump wins Florida, Georgia and North Carolina, he’s at about a 50% shot to win the Electoral College, according to our interactive map. But if Biden then wins Ohio, Trump chances plummet to 1%. 53eig.ht/3emJWUV
Nearly all of Silicon Valley's political $'s are going to Hillary Clinton: 53eig.ht/2eLIpsI
Romney says today was about a “selfish man’s injured pride.”
When Romney ran in 2018, he implied that he was going to be the new John McCain — conservative but willing to break with the party and very norms-focused. He has lived up to that. 53eig.ht/3bhAkLI
We've got 👀 on DeKalb county.
Only 37% of the expected vote is in there.
According to the Georgia Secretary of State’s office, it has one of the biggest tranches of early votes not yet counted.
In November, DeKalb went for Biden by 67 points.
53eig.ht/3oiultL
We won’t be covering exit polls much at all, at least not tonight. Here’s why: 53eig.ht/3mQjdmM
Democrats have about a 7 in 8 chance of winning control of the House, while Republicans have a 1 in 8 chance of keeping control of the House. 53eig.ht/house
What we know about the vote in Pennsylvania: 53eig.ht/3l1wNmx
The Wisconsin Elections Commission administrator has just told reporters that there are no votes left to be counted in that state.
(Biden currently leads there by more than 20,000 votes.)
53eig.ht/3mVbZh0
Donald Trump becomes the 10th president in United States history to lose reelection, after John Adams, John Quincy Adams, Martin Van Buren, Benjamin Harrison, William Howard Taft, Herbert Hoover, Gerald Ford, Jimmy Carter and George H.W. Bush. 53eig.ht/3eAIgao
Law enforcement officials using tear gas on protesters outside the White House to clear a path for Trump to visit a church was arguably one of most significant moments of the president breaking with the core values of American democracy. 53eig.ht/2XNQWSE
Red and blue shifts happen.
That’s not evidence of fraud.
53eig.ht/3kYBAp3
“While I may be the first woman in this office, I will not be the last." 53eig.ht/3p9hzhJ
There are now 122,535 absentee ballots left to be counted in Georgia, according to the Georgia secretary of state. And Trump currently has just a 38,126-vote lead over Biden in the state. 53eig.ht/352UF3X
Not only do a majority of Americans blame Trump for the riot at the Capitol and favor removing him from office, but his job approval rating has fallen faster in recent days than at any point in his presidency, according to recent polls. 53eig.ht/3nJbAP3
Biden basically has 3 “easy” paths to victory remaining. Here they are in rough order of likelihood:
1) Win Arizona and NE-02, hold Michigan and Wisconsin
2) Win Pennsylvania, hold Michigan and Wisconsin
3) Win Georgia, hold Michigan and Wisconsin
53eig.ht/3jX1nwu
Presented by : Here's why North Carolina is one of the most business-friendly states in the country. 53eig.ht/2Y5uasr
Immigration drove Trump’s victory in the GOP primary. 53eig.ht/2jiMVEW
Biden won -- pretty convincingly in the end. 53eig.ht/2Ii2DNI
However you feel about the call, Clinton is winning more:
1. Votes
2. Delegates
3. Superdelegates
53eig.ht/1RVWeyT
The 25 most rewatchable movies of all time: 53eig.ht/1MhJWTz
Note: Trump has sent a lot of signals that, almost no matter what the actual results, he would falsely or prematurely claim victory. In that scenario, we plan to:
-Not let false claims dominate our coverage
-Make clear why claims are false/premature
53eig.ht/3oYPGJj
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We're waiting now for remarks from President Trump at the White House. 53eig.ht/3oYPGJj
Tonight will have been a big night for Democrats if they win both races. They'll have gained a trifecta in Washington, taken away power from Mitch McConnell, won two Senate seats in Georgia and elected a Black candidate in the South. 53eig.ht/3okijjw
This is an important note.
They may be signaling that they will not go along with Trump efforts to stop vote counts, etc. if it is clear that Biden has won. 53eig.ht/3oUowDo
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Portman and McConnell are among the Republican senators who are making “count every vote”-style comments that are clearly intended as pushing back against Trump. 53eig.ht/3oUowDo
Sen. Kamala Harris, who officially announced she is running for president on this morning, has the potential to be among the strongest contenders in the Democratic field. 53eig.ht/2FO3r9G
Perdue’s lead is now down to less than 500 votes, per ABC’s count. 53eig.ht/38hLJJq
We have polling averages for the Georgia Senate runoff elections:
Ossoff 48.7%
Purdue 47.9%
Warnock 49.2%
Loeffler 47.0%
53eig.ht/36QnIIx
Replying to
2/ Four surveys showed Democratic Sen. Raphael Warnock leading, on average, 48 percent to 45 percent among likely voters. 53eig.ht/3CCP5EV
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According to the Decision Desk, Biden has now taken the lead in Georgia, albeit a narrow one — just 917 votes. This is a big deal, but the race there is by no means over:
60% of guns used to commit crimes in Chicago from 2009 to 2013 originated outside of Illinois. 53eig.ht/2i6EYPc
LOTS
OF
POLLS.
*Little sign of the presidential race tightening.
53eig.ht/2HKBQcg
Democrats are 3-0 this century when they have a Black person on the ticket, and 0-3 when they don’t. 53eig.ht/355gDTE
Gabriel Sterling, a Republican and the voting system implementation manager for the Georgia secretary of state, just shot down Trump's false claims that votes were “found” in Georgia. 53eig.ht/38hJC8o
THE ULTIMATE HALLOWEEN CANDY POWER RANKING 53eig.ht/2yYJaKS
Sen. John McCain has voted in line with Trump's position 90.7% of the time. 53eig.ht/2ltq5uH
Trump's lead in Georgia has dropped to 1,479 votes, according to Decision Desk HQ.
53eig.ht/353Bozb
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Replying to @DecisionDeskHQ
GA Presidential Election Results
Trump (R): 49.4% (2,448,056 votes)
Biden (D): 49.37% (2,446,577 votes)
Trump Margin: +1,479 (-318)
Estimated: > 99% votes in
More results here: results.decisiondeskhq.com/2020/general/g
In Georgia, a reported 80,000 mail ballots are delayed in being reported in Gwinnett County because of a software error.
*Those are likely very blue votes.
53eig.ht/2TPotu6
There have been 10 Black senators in U.S. history, and none have come from Georgia.
Georgia has one of the largest Black populations of any state in the country.
fivethirtyeight.com/live-blog/geor
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Georgia’s runoff system is rooted in a historic attempt to dilute Black voting power, giving white voters a second chance to mobilize and defeat Black candidates, according to experts. 53eig.ht/3rXSUyb
It’s not a landslide, by any means, but this is a map that almost any Democrat would have been thrilled about if you’d shown it to them a year ago. 53eig.ht/3kfd168
Romney just said the best way to honor voters who are upset that Trump lost is to “tell them the truth!” 53eig.ht/3baBhW2
Georgia’s runoff system is rooted in a historic attempt to dilute Black voting power, giving white voters a second chance to mobilize and defeat Black candidates, according to experts. 53eig.ht/3rXSUyb
What should Andrew Yang be thankful for this Thanksgiving? youtu.be/cC0Oh7NQjkw
1:24
For your sleep schedule planning purposes:
-We should have near-complete unofficial results from Wisconsin early tomorrow AM
-Officials in Michigan say they’ll be done tomorrow as well
-Pennsylvania results probably won’t be known until Friday
53eig.ht/32aD6wO
Out of 529 total Republican nominees running for office, we found 195 who FULLY DENIED the legitimacy of the 2020 election.
And an additional 61 candidates RAISED QUESTIONS around the results of the 2020 election. 53eig.ht/3eeU4D0
NEW: In a wide-ranging interview, Dr. Anthony Fauci told FiveThirtyEight’s PODCAST-19 that, while New York and other cities are doing well, the U.S. overall, compared to other countries, is not doing great. 53eig.ht/322sfFS
The Senate is now definitely in play in 2018.
(If Democrats can hold onto their seats, they’d only need to win Arizona and Nevada.)
53eig.ht/2z5Zqd0