Crime isn’t at a 20-year high, but concern about it is. Partly prospect theory (getting worse/better matters, not just overall level), and part reminds me that the US murder rate was higher in the 1980s but people thought it was higher in the ‘90s. In the ‘90s, more murder on TV.https://twitter.com/ABC/status/1410904505340895233 …
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Public perception of crime and actual data on crime often don’t correlate. These graphs run 1993-2016. You can see the actual drop in crime reflected in perception at first, but then perceived crime rose as actual violent crime kept declining. Most likely explanation is media.pic.twitter.com/awCwS5gY3i
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Replying to @NGrossman81
Nothing to see here, lol. Repeat after me, Crime not increasing, crime not increasing..http://shorturl.at/byFJ9
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Replying to @ticojon
The data in the graphs is national. The article you posted is local, referring to one part of one US city. The latter says nothing about the former, much like if I said "2020 was a bad year for the economy" it wouldn't make sense to counter "no, because Facebook's stock rose."
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Replying to @NGrossman81
I’m reacting to it because our SF DA
@chesaboudin just retweeted it ljke it is locally relevant. He and his office retweet this stuff constantly to try and distract from their being absent on the job. Also, National data on a topic like crime is almost meaningless statistically.1 reply 0 retweets 6 likes
Break-ins are crimes but they are technically not violent crimes. Though, Chesa supports break-in robberies.
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He does seem to love breakins, car thefts, and shoplifting!
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