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Seemed to me that for successful giant tech companies, the fundamental tech breakthroughs take place before the startup gets formed, then the seed funding is used to find product/market fit, then the big $ is used to scale. Is this naive? Are there historical counter-examples?
Assuming all the $ gets spent, if they sell a $1000 device with a 10% net profit margin, then for investors to even *recoup* their money, Magic Leap will need to sell about 23M units -- nearly as many as the total number of XBox One units ever sold. A bold bet
If you're expecting a 10x return (say, with 20% probability, so you make 2x if you place enough bets, which starts beating the SP500 over the same timescale), you'll need to create a bigger market than the global gaming console market. This is why I'm not in VC
They could also exit to Google/Facebook
The data mining aspect of these devices will be beyond anything imaginable for training deep nets. For free. Consider the data you could get recording 1 million people doing their daily activities.
The XBox One is not in boardrooms, offices, and universities. Magic Leap on the other hand will likely make it into hospitals, stadiums, and households.
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