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Innovation is an accretion process, where long-term, large-scale macro trends matter more than individual contributions. A consequence of this is that technological revolutions are predictable shortly before they happen, if you're listening carefully.
An interesting characteristic of important breakthroughs is that multiple people and groups tend to be working on them at the same time, independently. They're effectively running the very last step of a collective problem-solving algorithm that was nearing completion.
Sometimes true sometimes not. Definitely true related to quantum computing at the moment
i see it even within research teams (including at @xdotai), where various people will be close to arriving at the same solution or idea ...
Or it’s Jungian synchronicity
Here it comes. Get your blockchain, solar roof, and Ai training gym ready because change is not slowing down or consolidating.
I guess innovation is just an incremental process where everyone is building upon others. Current "acceleration" may just be the result of better access to the work of other.
But it's independent contributions that make things happen, in the end. Can't wait for "law of accelerating returns" to build technology for you. Pretty sure I've seen you building tech!
Meh. Lots of groups work on things that won't pan out too. I'm not quite hearing it yet.
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