You are one of the most vocal opponents of AGI I know. The difference is you know what you’re taking about so I happily give you a pass.
There's no practical path from superhuman performance in thousands of narrow vertical tasks, to the general intelligence and common sense of a toddler.
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From the public perspective, there will be AI plateforms such as Echo, Alexa, etc.
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Oh heck you’re going to bankrupt the VCs after what they told their LPs
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True. But superhuman capabality across millions of narrowly defined cognitive tasks is going to seriously mess with how our world currently works.
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You need some
@tferriss in your life.Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
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Indeed, and could say exactly the same about going from steam engines to humanoid robots a century ago.
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Not the same thing. There is a huge theoretical mystery about what intelligence/consciousness is.
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AGI is coming. There is no doubt about it. But it will not come from mainstream AI. Mainstream AI experts are clueless. Their cluelessness is directly proportional to their celebrity status. Loud denials notwithstanding, they're still doing GOFAI without realizing it.
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Yet there is obviously a practical path in the other direction.
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