So weird that you gain status in the ML community by talking about how impossible AGI is, and it’s a taboo to be excited about it. Imagine if JFK or those running the Apollo program inspired their followers by saying “we won’t get to the moon anytime soon”.
Imagine if business ppl with zero understanding of biology where running around claiming that within 10 years we'd have eternal life and brain-boosting pills to get us IQs of 500, & that we need new regulations right now to handle it. Maybe you'd want actual doctors to weigh in.
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I have spent over a decade doing practically nothing but thinking about AI and AGI. I've learned a few things. I could care less about status. But I do care about injecting a modicum of sanity in the public discussion
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And to set the record straight, I have never claimed that AGI is "impossible" (or eternal life, for the record). If you read my writing you'll see that I consider it a given that we will eventually build synthetic intelligence comparable to that of humans, and beyond
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actually being an expert in a field doesn't necessarily implies being a pessimistic, disillusioned prick.
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'if'? Business ppl are already talking about all kinds of baloney therapies for extending lifespans, or bogus CRISPR therapies for boosting intelligence. Not actual doctors tho.
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I would definitely want doctors to weigh in, and in the case of AGI I want ML researchers to weigh in (and I enjoyed your post about the future of deep learning).
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I think we should be having a reasoned debate about the truth about the future so that we can be informed and make good decisions, not everyone playing a status game with hype and exaggeration and dismissals (which I see on both sides).
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