A voice of reason at the BigNeuro panel: "we are very very far from human-level AI... maybe decades or centuries" - Yoshua Bengio #NIPS2017
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Decades is practically tomorrow!
But we can only make predictions when we have enough data and sufficiently reliable models. When it comes to "solving intelligence", we have basically no data about what it entails, and no way to model progress towards a goal we can't even define. We don't know what we don't know
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We'll know it's getting closer when we start developing proper definitions of the goal and reasonable ways to model progress. Since we don't have that today, we know we're far, but we don't know anything more
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In particular we don't know "how far". Like walking towards a place that's beyond the horizon line. We'll know we're getting close (and how close) only when it's in sight.
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"We don't know what we don't know"... I'm so in love with you, it hurts.
Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
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